Daily Endocrinology Research Analysis
Three impactful endocrinology studies stand out today: a JCEM analysis introduces race-neutral pediatric bone density reference ranges that predict fractures, a NEJM Evidence cohort quantifies graded risks of 16 diseases across obesity classes, and a JCEM genetics study shows all de novo MEN2 syndromes arise from paternal RET mutations. Together, these works inform equitable diagnostics, cardiometabolic risk stratification, and genetic counseling.
Summary
Three impactful endocrinology studies stand out today: a JCEM analysis introduces race-neutral pediatric bone density reference ranges that predict fractures, a NEJM Evidence cohort quantifies graded risks of 16 diseases across obesity classes, and a JCEM genetics study shows all de novo MEN2 syndromes arise from paternal RET mutations. Together, these works inform equitable diagnostics, cardiometabolic risk stratification, and genetic counseling.
Research Themes
- Race-neutral diagnostic standards in pediatric endocrinology
- Graded multisystem disease risk across obesity classes
- Genetic origins and counseling implications in MEN2
Selected Articles
1. Race-neutral Pediatric Reference Ranges for Bone Mineral Density Predict Prospective Fractures in Childhood.
Using longitudinal DXA data, the authors created race-neutral pediatric BMD/BMAD reference ranges and showed these Z-scores predict prospective fractures (12–18% risk reduction per SD). Race-neutral Z-scores were 0.5–0.7 SD higher than race-specific Z-scores for Black children, supporting equity-focused interpretation.
Impact: This is the first race-neutral pediatric BMD/BMAD reference that also demonstrates prospective fracture prediction, directly informing guidelines and addressing race-based algorithm concerns.
Clinical Implications: Consider adopting race-neutral BMD/BMAD Z-scores for pediatric DXA interpretation, especially in Black children previously monitored with race-specific ranges. Implement careful transition strategies to maintain longitudinal comparability.
Key Findings
- Race-neutral pediatric BMD/BMAD Z-scores were 0.5–0.7 SD higher than race-specific Z-scores in Black children.
- Each 1 SD increase in race-neutral Z-score was associated with a 12–18% reduction in prospective fracture risk.
- Growth and lifestyle factors modified group differences but did not negate fracture prediction by race-neutral Z.
Methodological Strengths
- Longitudinal cohort with standardized DXA at multiple skeletal sites
- Use of LMS method and Cox modeling to develop and validate race-neutral references with prospective outcomes
Limitations
- Sample size by subgroup and exact follow-up duration were not detailed in the abstract
- Implementation may challenge longitudinal comparability for children previously monitored with race-specific references
Future Directions: Prospective multi-center validation of race-neutral Z-scores across diverse populations and integration into pediatric bone health guidelines, with transition tools for legacy race-specific monitoring.
INTRODUCTION: Race-specific reference ranges for pediatric areal bone mineral density (BMD) are widely used, but the value of race-based clinical algorithms has been questioned. We developed race-neutral pediatric reference ranges for areal BMD and bone mineral apparent density (BMAD) and compared race-specific vs race-neutral Z-scores in their ability to predict prospective fractures.
MATERIAL AND METHODS: This secondary analysis of the Bone Mineral Density in Childhood Study used longitudinal BMD data of the spine, hip, forearm, and total body less head and BMAD from dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans. Race/ethnicity, dietary calcium, physical activity, and prospective fractures were assessed by questionnaire. Race-neutral reference ranges and height-for-age Z-score adjustment equations were created using the lambda-sigma-mu method. Race-neutral and race-specific Z-scores were compared using linear mixed-effect modeling. Cox proportional hazard modeling was used to test whether race-neutral Z-scores associated with fracture.
RESULTS: Race-neutral BMD and BMAD Z-scores were 0.5 to 0.7 SD greater than race-specific Z-scores for Black children but only ∼0.1 SD lower for children from other race/ethnicity groups. Growth and lifestyle factors modified group differences. One SD increase in race-neutral Z-scores was associated with a 12% to 18% reduced risk of fracture.
CONCLUSION: We present the first race-neutral pediatric reference ranges for BMD and BMAD that are weighted to be representative of the US population and demonstrate that these Z-scores associate with fracture risk. Adoption of these new reference ranges should be considered, with thoughtful implementation for patients previously monitored with race-specific reference ranges, especially among children who identify as Black.
2. Associations between Class I, II, or III Obesity and Health Outcomes.
In 270,657 diverse adults from All of Us, obesity showed graded associations with the incidence of 16 conditions, with class III obesity most strongly linked to OSA (HR 10.94), type 2 diabetes (HR 7.74), and MASLD (HR 6.72). Population-attributable fractions ranged up to 51.5% for OSA.
Impact: Provides high-resolution, diverse-population estimates of incident disease risks across obesity classes, informing prevention, screening, and health policy in the GLP-1 era.
Clinical Implications: Prioritize screening for OSA, MASLD, and type 2 diabetes in class II–III obesity; use graded risk to guide intensity of prevention and early treatment, including metabolic therapies.
Key Findings
- Obesity displayed graded associations with the incidence of 16 outcomes across cardiovascular, kidney, metabolic, and other systems.
- Class III obesity had strongest links to obstructive sleep apnea (HR 10.94), type 2 diabetes (HR 7.74), and MASLD (HR 6.72).
- Population-attributable fractions ranged from 14.0% (osteoarthritis) to 51.5% (OSA); associations were consistent across sex and race.
Methodological Strengths
- Very large, diverse cohort linked to EHR with standardized BMI and adjudicated outcomes
- Comprehensive analysis across 16 prespecified outcomes with adjusted hazard ratios and population-attributable fractions
Limitations
- Observational design with potential residual confounding and misclassification in EHR-derived outcomes
- Follow-up duration and temporal changes in exposure not detailed in the abstract
Future Directions: Evaluate mediation by visceral adiposity and inflammation, test targeted screening strategies in class II–III obesity, and quantify treatment effect modification by anti-obesity pharmacotherapy.
BACKGROUND: The burden of obesity-related health conditions remains incompletely explored. Previous studies have been underpowered to study severe obesity, focused on a limited set of health outcomes, and lacked diversity in study populations. METHODS: We studied 270,657 participants from the All of Us research program with linked electronic health records and body mass index (the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) greater than or equal to 18.5. We investigated the prevalence and incidence of 16 a priori-identified outcomes covering cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome and others: hypertension, type 2 diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia/dyslipidemia, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, pulmonary embolism, deep vein thrombosis, gout, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, biliary calculus, obstructive sleep apnea, asthma, gastroesophageal reflux disease, and osteoarthritis. Adjusted hazard ratios were calculated for each BMI category and compared with normal weight. The population-attributable fraction was calculated for different obesity classifications. RESULTS: The included population was 62.0% women and 22.0% Black. Class I, II, and III obesity was observed in 21.2%, 11.3%, and 9.8% of participants, respectively. Obesity was strongly associated with all incident outcomes, with graded associations across higher classes of obesity. Class III obesity was most strongly associated with obstructive sleep apnea, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval {CI}], 10.94 [9.97 to 12.00], 7.74 [7.03 to 8.53], and 6.72 [6.01 to 7.50], respectively), with weaker associations for asthma, osteoarthritis, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio [95% CI], 2.14 [1.95 to 2.35], 2.06 [1.94 to 2.19], and 1.96 [1.70 to 2.25], respectively). Associations were consistent across sex and race. The obesity-related population-attributed fraction ranged from 14.0% (osteoarthritis) to 51.5% (obstructive sleep apnea) in this population. CONCLUSIONS: Obesity, particularly severe obesity, was strongly associated with the incidence of 16 common health outcomes.
3. Prevalence and genetics of "de novo" MEN2 syndromes.
Among 152 hereditary MTC families, 24 (≈16%) index cases had de novo RET mutations, and all de novo events were paternal in origin without evidence of parental or proband mosaicism, implicating spermatogenesis. Advanced paternal age may contribute in some, refining counseling.
Impact: Clarifies the parental origin of de novo RET mutations in MEN2, with direct implications for recurrence risk counseling and potential paternal-age considerations.
Clinical Implications: Counsel families that de novo MEN2 arises from paternal germline; recurrence risk is low but paternal germline origin should inform reproductive counseling and considerations of paternal age.
Key Findings
- Approximately 15.78% (24/152) of hereditary MTC families had a de novo RET mutation in the index case.
- SNP phasing showed all de novo RET mutations were paternal in origin.
- No mosaicism was detected in probands or parents by digital droplet PCR, implicating mutations during spermatogenesis; advanced paternal age may contribute variably.
Methodological Strengths
- Parental-origin assignment via SNP phasing combined with allele-specific sequencing
- Use of digital droplet PCR to exclude parental/proband mosaicism
Limitations
- Single-country/center cohort may limit generalizability of prevalence estimates
- Paternal age effect not uniformly present; causality cannot be established
Future Directions: Broader population studies to quantify paternal-age effects and germline mutational spectra; explore paternal preconception risk reduction strategies.
CONTEXT: Hereditary medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) is an inherited syndrome accounting for 25% of MTC cases. It is caused by germline RET mutations, which can be inherited or occur de novo. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to define the prevalence and genetics of de novo MEN2 syndromes, which are not yet fully understood, and to characterize the parental origin of the RET de novo mutation. METHODS: We selected 152 of 215 families with hereditary MTC. In de novo cases, we sequenced the wild-type and mutated alleles of the index cases and compared their single nucleotide polymorphism profiles with those of their parents. Digital droplet PCR was performed to determine the presence of mosaicism in both the index case and the parents. RESULTS: In 24 of 152 (15.78%) families, the index case had a de novo mutation. Single nucleotide polymorphism analysis demonstrated that in all cases, the mutation occurred on the paternal allele. The absence of mosaicism supported the hypothesis that the mutation occurred during spermatogenesis. The mean age of fathers at the time of conception was, in some cases but not all, relatively advanced. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of de novo hereditary MEN2 syndromes was approximately 16%, including MEN2B, and around 9% for other phenotypes. All de novo cases were of paternal origin and likely resulted from an acquired alteration in sperm DNA. The possible role of advanced paternal age in promoting de novo mutations could not be ruled out.