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Daily Report

Daily Endocrinology Research Analysis

05/27/2025
3 papers selected
3 analyzed

A phase 3 RCT in NEJM showed that once-weekly mazdutide (a GLP-1/glucagon dual agonist) produced 11–14% mean weight loss at 48 weeks with broad cardiometabolic benefits and acceptable tolerability. In type 1 diabetes, simple clinic-based β-cell metrics (QRS, fasting C-peptide, CPest) and a 12-week Beta2 score predicted immunotherapy response across multiple trials. In Cushing disease, combining USP8 tumor mutation status with early postsurgical cortisol/DST robustly stratified 5-year recurrence

Summary

A phase 3 RCT in NEJM showed that once-weekly mazdutide (a GLP-1/glucagon dual agonist) produced 11–14% mean weight loss at 48 weeks with broad cardiometabolic benefits and acceptable tolerability. In type 1 diabetes, simple clinic-based β-cell metrics (QRS, fasting C-peptide, CPest) and a 12-week Beta2 score predicted immunotherapy response across multiple trials. In Cushing disease, combining USP8 tumor mutation status with early postsurgical cortisol/DST robustly stratified 5-year recurrence risk.

Research Themes

  • Incretin-based dual agonists for obesity
  • Pragmatic biomarkers and trial endpoints in recent-onset type 1 diabetes
  • Genomic and biochemical predictors of recurrence in Cushing disease

Selected Articles

1. Once-Weekly Mazdutide in Chinese Adults with Obesity or Overweight.

88.5Level IRCT
The New England journal of medicine · 2025PMID: 40421736

In a 48-week, phase 3, double-blind RCT (n=610), mazdutide 4 mg and 6 mg produced −11.0% and −14.0% mean weight loss at week 48 versus 0.3% with placebo and improved multiple cardiometabolic measures. Rates of ≥15% weight loss were 35.7% and 49.5% (vs 2.0% placebo); gastrointestinal events were the most common and were mostly mild–moderate.

Impact: First phase 3 evidence for a GLP-1/glucagon dual agonist demonstrating double-digit weight loss with favorable tolerability, expanding anti-obesity pharmacotherapy options.

Clinical Implications: Mazdutide could become an additional weekly pharmacologic option for adults with overweight/obesity requiring substantial weight loss and cardiometabolic risk reduction; head-to-head and long-term outcome data will guide positioning versus existing incretin therapies.

Key Findings

  • At week 32, mean weight change: −10.09% (4 mg), −12.55% (6 mg), vs +0.45% (placebo); ≥5% weight loss in 73.9% and 82.0% vs 10.5% (P<0.001).
  • At week 48, mean weight change: −11.00% (4 mg), −14.01% (6 mg), vs 0.30% (placebo); ≥15% weight loss in 35.7% and 49.5% vs 2.0% (P<0.001).
  • Mazdutide improved prespecified cardiometabolic measures; GI adverse events were most common and mostly mild–moderate; discontinuation rates were low (1.5%, 0.5%, 1.0%).

Methodological Strengths

  • Phase 3, double-blind, placebo-controlled RCT with treatment-policy estimand.
  • Large sample size with two active doses and comprehensive cardiometabolic endpoints.

Limitations

  • Single-country (China) population limits generalizability across ethnicities.
  • No head-to-head comparison with established incretin agents; long-term safety and outcomes beyond 48 weeks unknown.

Future Directions: Head-to-head trials versus semaglutide/tirzepatide, longer-term cardiovascular and renal outcomes, NASH/NAFLD endpoints, and real-world effectiveness across diverse populations.

BACKGROUND: Evidence suggests that incretin-based dual agonist pharmacotherapy is helpful in persons with obesity. Mazdutide, a glucagon-like peptide-1 and glucagon receptor dual agonist, may have efficacy in persons with overweight or obesity. METHODS: In a phase 3, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in China, we randomly assigned, in a 1:1:1 ratio, adults 18 to 75 years of age who had a body-mass index (BMI; the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) of at least 28 or had a BMI of 24 to less than 28 plus at least one weight-related coexisting condition to receive 4 mg of mazdutide, 6 mg of mazdutide, or placebo for 48 weeks. The two primary end points were the percentage change in body weight from baseline and a weight reduction of at least 5% at week 32, as assessed in a treatment-policy estimand analysis (which assessed effects regardless of early discontinuation of mazdutide or placebo and the initiation of new antiobesity therapies).

2. β-Cell Function Derived From Routine Clinical Measures Reports and Predicts Treatment Response to Immunotherapy in Recent-Onset Type 1 Diabetes.

76Level IIRCT
Diabetes care · 2025PMID: 40424079

Clinic-derived β-cell measures (QRS, fasting C-peptide, CPest) distinguished baricitinib from placebo at 24/48 weeks in the BANDIT RCT. A 12-week Beta2 score predicted 1-year treatment response to baricitinib and to rituximab, abatacept, and ATG, and a 6.2% Beta2 decrease predicted meaningful HbA1c and insulin-use improvements.

Impact: Provides validated, low-burden outcome and predictive markers for immunotherapy trials in recent-onset type 1 diabetes, enabling more efficient trials and personalized decisions.

Clinical Implications: QRS, fasting C-peptide, and CPest can serve as pragmatic primary outcomes; the 12-week Beta2 score can guide adaptive trial designs and early clinical decisions about continuing or switching immunotherapies.

Key Findings

  • QRS, fasting C-peptide, and CPest reliably differentiated baricitinib vs placebo at 24 and 48 weeks.
  • The 12-week Beta2 score predicted QRS>0 at 1 year for baricitinib (AUC 0.864) and other immunotherapies (AUC 0.765).
  • A 6.2% decrease in Beta2 at week 12 predicted improvements in HbA1c (−0.6%) and insulin dose (−0.26 U/kg/day) across combined trials.

Methodological Strengths

  • Use of randomized trial data with cross-trial validation across multiple immunotherapies.
  • Objective, reproducible metrics with ROC-based performance assessment.

Limitations

  • Secondary analyses; not prospectively implemented as decision rules in clinical practice.
  • Heterogeneity among trials and populations may influence generalizability.

Future Directions: Prospective validation of Beta2-guided decision-making, integration into adaptive trial protocols, and assessment of cost-effectiveness and patient-reported outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: Baricitinib preserves β-cell function in people with recently diagnosed type 1 diabetes. We aimed to determine whether simple routine clinical measures could be used to assess β-cell preservation and predict treatment response. RESEARCH DESIGNS AND METHOD: Measures of β-cell function derived from clinical and biochemical measures were calculated using data from the BAricitinib in Newly DIagnosed Type 1 diabetes (BANDIT) randomized trial of baricitinib in recent-onset type 1 diabetes. Measures that reported and predicted treatment efficacy were determined using linear regression and receiver operator characteristic analysis, respectively. Therapeutic predictors were validated using data from trials of rituximab, abatacept, and antithymocyte globulin. RESULTS: Quantitative response score (QRS), fasting C-peptide, and model-estimated C-peptide (CPest) most reliably differentiated placebo-treated from baricitinib-treated participants at 24 and 48 weeks. The Beta2 score, derived from fasting glucose, C-peptide, HbA1c, and insulin dose at 12 weeks, was optimal for predicting QRS >0 following 1 year of treatment with baricitinib and the other immunotherapies (areas under receiver operator curve 0.864 and 0.765, respectively). A 6.2% decrease in the Beta2 score at week 12 predicted significant improvement in HbA1c (-0.6% or -6 mmol/mol) and insulin use (-0.26 units/kg/day) in combined data from the rituximab, abatacept, and antithymocyte globulin trials. CONCLUSIONS: QRS, fasting C-peptide, and CPest could be used as more efficient, less burdensome primary outcome measures for future immunotherapy trials. The ability of the Beta2 score to predict treatment responses could facilitate adaptive trial designs and help guide treatment decisions in the clinic.

3. The USP8 Mutational Status in Combination With Postsurgical Cortisol Levels for Predicting Recurrence of Cushing Disease.

73Level IIICohort
The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism · 2025PMID: 40424186

In 107 corticotroph adenomas with mean 65-month follow-up, recurrence was higher with USP8 mutation (26.5% vs 5.8%). Combining USP8 mutation with elevated postsurgical morning cortisol (>2.5 μg/dL) or 1-mg DST (>0.78 μg/dL) markedly improved recurrence risk stratification (PPV up to 86%; NPV up to 100%).

Impact: Introduces a practical genomic–biochemical composite predictor that robustly stratifies long-term recurrence in Cushing disease, informing surveillance and adjuvant strategies.

Clinical Implications: USP8 genotyping with early postoperative MSC/DST can identify patients at high recurrence risk for intensified monitoring, earlier imaging, and consideration of adjuvant therapy; low-risk patients may avoid over-surveillance.

Key Findings

  • Recurrence occurred in 12.6% overall; higher in USP8-mutated vs wildtype tumors (26.5% vs 5.8%; P=0.009).
  • USP8 mutation, high postsurgical morning cortisol, and elevated 1-mg DST independently increased 5-year recurrence risk.
  • Combining USP8 mutation with MSC>2.5 μg/dL or DST>0.78 μg/dL improved PPV to 55% and 86%, while NPV reached 98% and 100%.

Methodological Strengths

  • Pathology-confirmed cohort with targeted genotyping and multivariate Cox modeling.
  • Kaplan–Meier and ROC analyses quantified prognostic performance and predictive values.

Limitations

  • Single-center retrospective cohort with moderate sample size.
  • Sanger sequencing may miss non-hotspot variants; external validation needed.

Future Directions: Prospective, multi-center validation; integration into postoperative algorithms; evaluation of adjuvant therapy triggers based on composite risk.

CONTEXT: The ubiquitin-specific protease 8 (USP8) gene mutations are the most common driver changes in Cushing disease (CD). However, few studies have investigated the association between USP8 mutation and recurrence, and the results have been inconclusive. OBJECTIVE: To identify the predictors of recurrence and evaluate the prognostic role of USP8 mutation. METHODS: One hundred and seven patients with pathologically confirmed corticotroph adenomas were included. Somatic USP8 mutations were identified using Sanger sequencing. Recurrence predictors were estimated using multivariate Cox models, followed by receiver operating characteristic curves and Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: Thirteen patients (12.6%) experienced recurrence, with a mean follow-up period of 65 months after surgery. The recurrence rate was significantly higher in USP8-mutated tumors than in USP8 wildtype tumors (26.5% vs 5.8%; P = .009). Multivariate Cox models revealed that USP8 mutation, high postsurgical morning serum cortisol (MSC), and high 1-mg dexamethasone suppression test (DST) were associated with an increased 5-year recurrence risk. Furthermore, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that patients with USP8 mutation, combined with either high postsurgical MSC (>2.5 μg/dL) or high 1-mg DST (>0.78 μg/dL), were more prone to recurrence (log-rank P < .001). The negative predictive values were 98% and 100%, while the positive predictive values improved from 33% to 55% and from 47% to 86%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Our study corroborates USP8 mutational status in combination with postsurgical MSC or 1-mg DST as independent predictors of long-term remission, highlighting their potential role in stratifying patients at risk for suboptimal outcomes.