Daily Endocrinology Research Analysis
Analyzed 90 papers and selected 3 impactful papers.
Summary
Three impactful endocrinology studies stood out today: a large NEJM randomized trial showed tirzepatide is noninferior to dulaglutide for major cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes; a nationwide Veterans cohort linked both under- and over-replacement with thyroid hormone to higher incident heart failure; and integrated genomic-pathologic profiling established PRKACA constitutional duplication as a specific cause of PPNAD, clarifying adrenal disease nosology.
Research Themes
- Incretin-based therapies and cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes
- Thyroid hormone treatment intensity and heart failure risk
- Adrenal genetics clarifying the etiology of Cushing syndrome
Selected Articles
1. Cardiovascular Outcomes with Tirzepatide versus Dulaglutide in Type 2 Diabetes.
In SURPASS-CVOT, tirzepatide was noninferior to dulaglutide for the composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or stroke (HR 0.92; 95.3% CI 0.83–1.01). Superiority was not demonstrated, and gastrointestinal adverse events were somewhat more frequent with tirzepatide.
Impact: This large, double-blind active-comparator CVOT provides definitive cardiovascular safety data for tirzepatide against a proven cardioprotective GLP-1 RA, informing drug selection in high-risk type 2 diabetes.
Clinical Implications: For patients with type 2 diabetes and established ASCVD, tirzepatide can be considered without excess cardiovascular risk versus dulaglutide, while anticipating somewhat higher gastrointestinal adverse events.
Key Findings
- Primary composite endpoint occurred in 12.2% (tirzepatide) vs 13.1% (dulaglutide); HR 0.92 (95.3% CI 0.83–1.01)
- Noninferiority was met (P=0.003), superiority was not (P=0.09)
- Gastrointestinal adverse events were more frequent with tirzepatide; overall adverse event profiles were otherwise similar
- Modified ITT population included 13,165 participants (6586 tirzepatide, 6579 dulaglutide)
Methodological Strengths
- Double-blind, active-comparator, noninferiority RCT with modified ITT analysis
- Large sample size of high-risk patients with established ASCVD
Limitations
- Did not achieve statistical superiority versus dulaglutide
- Higher gastrointestinal adverse events with tirzepatide; sponsor-funded trial
Future Directions: Head-to-head mechanistic and outcomes studies to elucidate whether specific subgroups may benefit more from tirzepatide; assessment of long-term renal and heart failure outcomes.
BACKGROUND: Tirzepatide, a dual incretin agonist of the glucagon-like peptide-1 and glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide receptors, has favorable effects on glycemic control and body weight. The effects on cardiovascular outcomes are uncertain. METHODS: We conducted an active-comparator-controlled, double-blind, noninferiority trial in which patients with type 2 diabetes and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive a weekly subcutaneous injection of tirzepatide (up to 15 mg) or dulaglutide (1.5 mg), an agent that has been shown to reduce the incidence of cardiovascular events. The primary end point was a composite of death from cardiovascular causes, myocardial infarction, or stroke and was tested for noninferiority of tirzepatide to dulaglutide with a margin of 1.05 for the upper limit of the 95.3% confidence interval for the hazard ratio. An upper limit of less than 1.00 was considered to indicate superiority of tirzepatide to dulaglutide. RESULTS: A total of 13,299 patients underwent randomization; 134 were subsequently excluded because they did not meet inclusion criteria. The modified intention-to-treat population thus included 6586 patients in the tirzepatide group and 6579 in the dulaglutide group. The mean (±SD) age of the patients was 64.1±8.8 years, 29.0% were women, the mean body-mass index (the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) was 32.6±5.5, the mean glycated hemoglobin level was 8.4±0.9%, and the mean duration of diabetes was 14.7±8.8 years. A primary end-point event occurred in 801 patients (12.2%) in the tirzepatide group and 862 (13.1%) in the dulaglutide group (hazard ratio, 0.92; 95.3% confidence interval, 0.83 to 1.01; P = 0.003 for noninferiority; P = 0.09 for superiority). The incidence of adverse events appeared to be similar in the two groups, although more gastrointestinal adverse events were observed in the tirzepatide group. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with type 2 diabetes and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, tirzepatide was noninferior to dulaglutide with respect to a composite of death from cardiovascular causes, myocardial infarction, or stroke. (Funded by Eli Lilly; SURPASS-CVOT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04255433.).
2. Association between Over- and Under-Replacement with Thyroid Hormone and Incident Heart Failure.
In a 641,504-patient VHA cohort, both thyroid hormone under-replacement (e.g., TSH >20 mIU/L; AOR 1.93) and over-replacement (e.g., FT4 >1.9 ng/dL; AOR 1.23) were associated with higher incident heart failure risk versus euthyroidism. Risk accumulated over time, with the strongest association seen for under-replacement.
Impact: This study quantifies a modifiable, dose–response relationship between thyroid hormone treatment intensity and incident heart failure at national scale, with direct implications for TSH/FT4 targets in clinical practice.
Clinical Implications: Avoid sustained TSH elevations and FT4 excess during levothyroxine therapy; implement tighter monitoring and dose adjustments, particularly in older adults and those with cardiovascular risk.
Key Findings
- Under-replacement: TSH >20 mIU/L associated with higher incident HF (AOR 1.93; 95% CI 1.84–2.02)
- Over-replacement: FT4 >1.9 ng/dL associated with higher incident HF (AOR 1.23; 95% CI 1.14–1.32); TSH <0.1 mIU/L AOR 1.06
- Risk accumulation over time; e.g., TSH >5.5 mIU/L linked to a 5.8-fold increase in incident HF over 5 years
- Large national cohort: 641,504 adults initiating thyroid hormone; 12.7% developed HF
Methodological Strengths
- Very large, real-world cohort with time-varying exposure modeling for TSH and FT4
- Adjusted for key cardiovascular risk factors; separate analyses for TSH and FT4 cohorts
Limitations
- Observational retrospective design with potential residual confounding and measurement bias
- Generalizability limited by male-predominant VHA population
Future Directions: Prospective studies to test TSH/FT4 target strategies on heart failure outcomes and to define safe therapeutic windows across age and comorbidity strata.
CONTEXT: Whether over- or under-replacement with thyroid hormone is associated with incident heart failure remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: Elucidate the relationship between thyroid hormone over- and under-replacement and incident heart failure. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study of 641,504 adults who initiated thyroid hormone treatment between 2004 and 2017. SETTING: Veterans Health Administration. PARTICIPANTS: Two cohorts of adults aged ≥18 years treated with thyroid hormone were separately studied: 638,323 adults with at least two outpatient thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) measurements, and 338,249 adults with at least two outpatient free thyroxine (FT4) measurements, between thyroid hormone initiation and incident heart failure or study conclusion. EXPOSURE: Time-varying TSH and FT4. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incident heart failure. RESULTS: Overall, 564,152/641,504 (87.9%) patients were men. Median age was 66 years. Incident heart failure occurred in 81,286/641,504 (12.7%) patients. Following adjustment for age, sex, and cardiovascular risk factors (e.g., smoking, hypertension), under-replacement (e.g., TSH>20 mIU/L, adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.93, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.84-2.02; FT4<0.7 ng/dL, AOR 1.08; 95% CI, 1.04-1.12) and over-replacement (e.g., TSH<0.1 mIU/L, AOR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01-1.12; FT4>1.9 ng/dL, AOR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.14-1.32) were associated with increased incident heart failure compared to euthyroidism. Incident heart failure risk was cumulative over time with both thyroid hormone over- and under-replacement, but association was strongest with under-replacement (e.g., TSH>5.5 mIU/L associated with a 5.8-fold increase in incident heart failure over 5 years). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that thyroid hormone treatment intensity may be a modifiable risk factor for heart failure.
3. PRKACA constitutional duplication: a specific cause of Primary Pigmented Nodular Adrenocortical Disease (PPNAD).
Systematic genotyping of 781 BNAD index cases identified PRKACA constitutional duplications in 8 cases, all manifesting ACTH-independent hypercortisolism with histologic PPNAD. Immunohistochemistry (PRKACA/PRKAR1A) aided genetic attribution, and Hi-C demonstrated neo-domain formation, supporting a specific causal role for PRKACAdup in PPNAD.
Impact: Defines a precise genetic etiology and diagnostic workflow for PPNAD, integrating WGS/Hi-C and IHC, with implications for family screening and distinguishing from other BNAD forms.
Clinical Implications: Consider PRKACA duplication testing in suspected PPNAD (especially when PRKAR1A pathogenic variants are absent), and use PRKACA/PRKAR1A IHC to guide molecular diagnosis and family counseling.
Key Findings
- PRKACA duplications detected in 8/781 BNAD index cases; also in 8/12 screened relatives
- All PRKACAdup index cases had ACTH-independent hypercortisolism with PPNAD confirmed on pathology
- WGS showed no other pathogenic alterations within the duplicated region; IHC (PRKACA/PRKAR1A) facilitated attribution
- Tumor Hi-C revealed topologically associated neo-domains associated with PRKACAdup
Methodological Strengths
- Large BNAD cohort with systematic NGS/WGS screening
- Integrated molecular pathology including IHC and chromatin conformation (Hi-C)
Limitations
- Small number of PRKACA duplication cases limits precision of phenotype estimates
- Retrospective ascertainment; external validation and functional studies are needed
Future Directions: Prospective, multicenter validation of PRKACAdup screening algorithms in ACTH-independent hypercortisolism and mechanistic studies linking chromatin architecture changes to steroidogenesis.
OBJECTIVE: Constitutional duplications of PRKACA (PRKACAdup) have been described in rare cases of bilateral nodular adrenocortical disease (BNAD). The aim here was to clarify the phenotype in case of PRKACAdup, through systematic screening in BNAD patients, and study the molecular mechanisms involved. METHODS: Between 2020 and 2024, 781 index cases (IC) with BNAD (693 bilateral macronodular hyperplasia and 88 primary pigmented nodular adrenocortical diseases (PPNAD)), were genotyped using next-generation sequencing with a panel targeting ARMC5, KDM1A, MEN1, PRKAR1A, PRKACA, or whole-genome sequencing (WGS). Chromatin conformation analyses were performed with Hi-C libraries generated from 3 tumors. RESULTS: PRKACAdup was identified in 8/781 IC and 8/12 screened relatives. WGS performed on 4 IC presenting with PPNAD revealed no other genetic alterations in genes associated with human pathology within the duplicated region, nor any other alterations related to adrenal pathology. All IC with PRKACAdup underwent adrenalectomy for ACTH-independent hypercortisolism, with pathology confirming PPNAD. Other manifestations of Carney Complex were observed, in 8 of the 16 patients with PRKACAdup, limited to lentiginosis and benign tumors of the gonads. Immunohistochemistry using PRKACA/PRKAR1A antibodies facilitated the differentiation of the responsible genetic alteration. PRKACAdup was found to generate topologically associated neo-domains, in tumor Hi-C maps, as compared to controls. CONCLUSION: PRKACAdup causes PPNAD but no other forms of BNAD, so these should be sought in the absence of a pathogenic PRKAR1A variants.