Daily Sepsis Research Analysis
Three studies advance sepsis care across therapy, prediction, and diagnostics: a phage-derived depolymerase synergized with polymyxin B to rescue murine pandrug-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii bacteremia; an interpretable multi-cohort machine learning model accurately predicted persistent sepsis-associated AKI and outperformed urinary CCL14; and a prospective validation in Zimbabwe showed the BCID2 panel achieved high specificity and actionable resistance detection in a low-resource setting.
Summary
Three studies advance sepsis care across therapy, prediction, and diagnostics: a phage-derived depolymerase synergized with polymyxin B to rescue murine pandrug-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii bacteremia; an interpretable multi-cohort machine learning model accurately predicted persistent sepsis-associated AKI and outperformed urinary CCL14; and a prospective validation in Zimbabwe showed the BCID2 panel achieved high specificity and actionable resistance detection in a low-resource setting.
Research Themes
- Adjunctive enzymatic therapy against multidrug-resistant sepsis pathogens
- Explainable AI for early prediction of persistent sepsis-associated AKI
- Rapid molecular diagnostics implementation in low-resource settings
Selected Articles
1. Depolymerase as a potent adjunct to polymyxin for targeting KL160 pandrug-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii in a murine bacteremia model.
A KL160-specific phage-derived depolymerase (DPO-HL) synergized with polymyxin B, reducing polymyxin MIC 16-fold and achieving 100% survival in a murine pandrug-resistant A. baumannii bacteremia model while lowering endotoxin levels. DPO-HL was plasma-stable, enhanced plasma bactericidal activity, eradicated mature biofilms, and showed acceptable safety in vitro and in vivo.
Impact: This is among the first demonstrations in a mammalian sepsis model that a capsular depolymerase can rescue lethal pandrug-resistant A. baumannii bacteremia via synergy with a last-line antibiotic. It opens a translational path for enzyme–antibiotic combinations against critical AMR pathogens.
Clinical Implications: If validated in humans, depolymerase–polymyxin combinations could reduce doses, toxicity, and resistance emergence against A. baumannii sepsis. Capsular typing (e.g., KL160) may guide adjuvant selection.
Key Findings
- DPO-HL was stable in human plasma and enhanced plasma bactericidal activity.
- Synergy with polymyxin B reduced polymyxin MIC by 16-fold and eradicated mature biofilms.
- Combination therapy (1.45 mg/kg DPO-HL + 0.5 mg/kg polymyxin B) achieved 100% survival and reduced endotoxin; DPO-HL monotherapy rescued 30%.
Methodological Strengths
- Comprehensive in vitro and in vivo evaluation including biofilm assays, plasma interaction, safety, and murine survival.
- Clear pharmacodynamic synergy quantified by MIC reduction and survival endpoints.
Limitations
- Preclinical murine model; human efficacy and immunogenicity are unknown.
- Targeted a single capsular type (KL160), limiting immediate generalizability across A. baumannii strains.
Future Directions: Evaluate immunogenicity, pharmacokinetics, and efficacy across diverse capsular types; design first-in-human safety studies and optimize combination dosing strategies.
OBJECTIVES: Acinetobacter baumannii bacteremia caused by pandrug-resistant strains poses a major challenge in intensive care units, necessitating novel therapeutic approaches. Phage-derived depolymerases offer a promising adjunct to conventional antibiotics. However, studies on A. baumannii phage depolymerases have been limited to non-mammalian models. This study investigates the therapeutic efficacy, safety, and potential mechanisms of action of DPO-HL, both as a monotherapy and in combination with polymyxin B, in a murine model of A. baumannii bacteremia. METHODS: DPO-HL was expressed and purified via Ni-NTA affinity chromatography. Its bactericidal activity was assessed through dynamic killing and biofilm disruption assays. Interaction with human plasma was examined to determine its impact on plasma's bactericidal activity. Synergy with polymyxin B was evaluated by MIC reduction. Safety was assessed via cytotoxicity, haemolysis, and acute toxicity tests. A mouse bacteremia model was established to evaluate therapeutic efficacy via intraperitoneal and intravenous administration. RESULTS: DPO-HL, targeting KL160 capsular polysaccharide, exhibited stability in plasma and enhanced plasma's bactericidal effect. It showed strong synergy with polymyxin B, reducing its MIC by 16-fold, and efficiently eradicated mature biofilms. DPO-HL alone reduced bacterial load and endotoxin levels but rescued only 30% of bacteremia mice. Combination therapy (1.45 mg/kg DPO-HL + 0.5 mg/kg polymyxin B) significantly reduced endotoxin levels and achieved 100% survival, regardless of administration route. CONCLUSIONS: This study identifies a KL160-targeting depolymerase and demonstrates its potent synergy with polymyxin B in treating A. baumannii bacteremia, supporting its potential for clinical application.
2. Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Persistent Sepsis-Associated Acute Kidney Injury: Development and Validation Study.
Using 46,097 sepsis patients across retrospective and prospective cohorts, a 12-variable GBM model predicted persistent SA-AKI with AUCs of 0.87–0.98 across validations and outperformed urinary CCL14 in a prospective cohort. The model is explainable (SHAP) and deployed as a web tool for bedside risk stratification.
Impact: Provides an interpretable, externally validated tool that can be integrated into ICU workflows to triage sepsis patients at high risk of persistent AKI, potentially informing early nephroprotective strategies.
Clinical Implications: Supports early nephrology consultation, conservative nephrotoxin use, and fluid/diuretic stewardship in patients flagged high risk for persistent SA-AKI, beyond reliance on biomarkers alone.
Key Findings
- Final GBM model with 12 routine variables achieved AUC 0.870 (internal), 0.891 (MIMIC-III subset), 0.932 (eICU), and 0.983 (single-center external retrospective).
- In a prospective cohort, the GBM (AUC 0.852) outperformed urinary CCL14 (AUC 0.821) for predicting persistent SA-AKI.
- Model explainability via SHAP highlighted AKI stage, ΔCreatinine, urine output, and diuretic dose as top contributors; a web tool was released.
Methodological Strengths
- Multi-cohort design with internal, multiple external, and prospective validation.
- Explainability (SHAP) and deployment as an accessible clinical web tool.
Limitations
- Observational data may harbor residual confounding and site-specific practice biases.
- Generalizability to non-participating healthcare systems and low-resource settings requires further testing.
Future Directions: Prospective impact studies to test whether model-guided care reduces persistent SA-AKI and dialysis; adaptation and validation in low-resource ICUs.
BACKGROUND: Persistent sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI) shows poor clinical outcomes and remains a therapeutic challenge for clinicians. Early identification and prediction of persistent SA-AKI are crucial. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to develop and validate an interpretable machine learning (ML) model that predicts persistent SA-AKI and to compare its diagnostic performance with that of C-C motif chemokine ligand 14 (CCL14) in a prospective cohort. METHODS: The study used 4 retrospective cohorts and 1 prospective cohort for model derivation and validation. The derivation cohort used the MIMIC-IV database, which was randomly split into 2 parts (80% for model construction and 20% for internal validation). External validation was conducted using subsets of the MIMIC-III dataset and e-ICU dataset, and retrospective cohorts from the intensive care unit (ICU) of Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital. Prospective data from the same ICU were used for validation and comparison with urinary CCL14 biomarker measurements. Acute kidney injury (AKI) was defined based on serum creatinine and urine output, using the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria. Routine clinical data within the first 24 hours of ICU admission were collected, and 8 ML algorithms were used to construct the prediction model. Multiple evaluation metrics, including area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), were used to compare predictive performance. Feature importance was ranked using Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP), and the final model was explained accordingly. In addition, the model was developed into a web-based application using the Streamlit framework to facilitate its clinical application. RESULTS: A total of 46,097 patients with sepsis from multiple cohorts were enrolled for analysis. Among 17,928 patients with sepsis in the derivation cohort, 8081 patients (45.1%) showed progression to persistent SA-AKI. Among the 8 ML models, the gradient boosting machine (GBM) model demonstrated superior discriminative ability. Following feature importance ranking, a final interpretable GBM model comprising 12 features (AKI stage, ΔCreatinine, urine output, furosemide dose, BMI, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, kidney replacement therapy, mechanical ventilation, lactate, blood urea nitrogen, prothrombin time, and age) was established. The final model accurately predicted the occurrence of persistent SA-AKI in both internal (AUC=0.870) and external validation cohorts (MIMIC-III subset: AUC=0.891; e-ICU dataset: AUC=0.932; Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital retrospective cohort: AUC=0.983). In the prospective cohort, the GBM model outperformed urinary CCL14 in predicting persistent SA-AKI (GBM AUC=0.852 vs CCL14 AUC=0.821). The model has been transformed into an online clinical tool to facilitate its application in clinical settings. CONCLUSIONS: The interpretable GBM model was shown to successfully and accurately predict the occurrence of persistent SA-AKI, demonstrating good predictive ability in both internal and external validation cohorts. Furthermore, the model was demonstrated to outperform the biomarker CCL14 in prospective cohort validation.
3. Rapid bacterial identification and resistance detection using a low complexity molecular diagnostic platform in Zimbabwe.
In a 5-month prospective validation including 377 analyzable positive blood cultures, BCID2 achieved >95% specificity and organism-dependent sensitivity (50%–100%) in Zimbabwe. It identified widespread CTX-M (74.5% of Enterobacterales) and detected some NDM/VIM carbapenemases, with good usability (SUS 79.5), underscoring the need for workflows integrating minimal phenotypic confirmation.
Impact: Demonstrates real-world performance of a rapid blood culture panel in a low-resource setting with high neonatal burden and significant ESBL/carbapenemase prevalence, informing diagnostic stewardship and AMR surveillance.
Clinical Implications: Adopting BCID2 with targeted phenotypic confirmation can shorten time-to-identification and resistance reporting, enabling earlier optimization of empiric therapy and infection control in LMICs.
Key Findings
- Across 377 positive cultures with reference results, specificity exceeded 95% and sensitivity ranged from 50% (Acinetobacter calcoaceticus-baumannii complex, Proteus spp.) to 100% (Streptococcus pneumoniae, Salmonella spp.).
- CTX-M was detected in 111/175 (74.5%) Enterobacterales; 5/111 co-harbored NDM or VIM, with NDM-5 confirmed in 2/5 by sequencing.
- System usability was high (SUS 79.5), with a case-mix dominated by neonates (48.3%) and pediatric patients (39.8%).
Methodological Strengths
- Prospective validation with reference standards (MALDI-TOF or whole genome sequencing) and Wilson score confidence metrics.
- Parallel testing against standard phenotypic workflows and inclusion of a usability assessment.
Limitations
- Only 377/780 positives had reference results, potentially introducing selection bias.
- Sensitivity varied by organism, necessitating complementary phenotypic testing and workflow optimization.
Future Directions: Time-to-result and patient outcome studies, cost-effectiveness analyses, and expanded resistance target panels suited to local epidemiology.
BACKGROUND: Sepsis is a major cause of mortality in low-resource settings. Effective microbiological culture services are a bottleneck in diagnosis and surveillance. AIM: We aimed to evaluate the performance of the BIOFIRE FILMARRAY Blood Culture Identification 2 (BCID2, bioMérieux) assay in a low-resource setting laboratory in comparison to standard practice. METHODS: This five month prospective validation study included all positive blood cultures collected at Sally Mugabe Central Hospital, Harare, Zimbabwe. BCID2 testing was done in parallel to standard phenotypic procedures and resistance testing. Reference identification was performed using mass spectrometry or whole genome sequencing. Only samples with available reference standard results were included in the analysis. Data captured on paper-based forms was entered into electronic case report forms (ODK Collect). Specificity and sensitivity for BCID2 were calculated in comparison to the reference standards, with performance measures calculated using the Wilson score. Biomedical scientists using BCID2 completed a system usability survey (SUS). RESULTS: Positive results were recorded in 780/2,023 (38.5%) blood cultures, within which 377 (48.3%) had reference results and so were included in analysis. Neonatal samples were most frequent (182, 48.3%), then paediatric (150, 39.8%), then adults (18, 4.8%) and unknown (27, 7.2%). Specificity exceeded 95% throughout. Sensitivity ranged from 50% (A. calcoaceticus-baumanii complex, Proteus spp.) to 100% (S. pneumoniae, Salmonella spp). Using BCID2, CTX-M was detected in 111/175 (74.5%) Enterobacterales, from which 5/111 also had NDM and VIM detected. NDM-5 was detected in 2/5 NDM samples using sequencing. In total 3/23 S. aureus isolates were methicillin resistant, from which one was confirmed using phenotypic antimicrobial susceptibility testing. Usability was good (SUS score = 79.5). CONCLUSION: Rapid molecular tests have potential to improve turn-around time and quality of sepsis diagnostics. However, specific work-flows are critical to supplement molecular tests with minimal phenotypic tests for optimal clinical decision-making.