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Daily Report

Daily Sepsis Research Analysis

07/10/2025
3 papers selected
3 analyzed

Three impactful studies advance sepsis care across evidence synthesis, precision phenotyping, and pediatric risk stratification. A meta-analysis clarifies early fluid resuscitation dosing and timing, while two large observational studies refine subphenotyping in adults with malignancy and identify pediatric SAKI subphenotypes with prognostic value.

Summary

Three impactful studies advance sepsis care across evidence synthesis, precision phenotyping, and pediatric risk stratification. A meta-analysis clarifies early fluid resuscitation dosing and timing, while two large observational studies refine subphenotyping in adults with malignancy and identify pediatric SAKI subphenotypes with prognostic value.

Research Themes

  • Early fluid resuscitation strategy and timing in sepsis
  • Precision subphenotyping and generalizability in sepsis with malignancy
  • Pediatric sepsis-associated acute kidney injury subphenotypes for prognostic enrichment

Selected Articles

1. The Effect of Early Fluid Resuscitation on Mortality in Sepsis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

74Level IMeta-analysis
Critical care medicine · 2025PMID: 40637496

Across 30 studies (119,583 adults), randomized trials show no mortality difference between liberal (~43–72 mL/kg) and more restrictive (~30 mL/kg) fluid strategies within 8 hours. Volumes <20 mL/kg were associated with increased mortality in most studies, and completing 30 mL/kg within 3 hours was associated with survival benefit, albeit with low certainty.

Impact: Clarifies dosing thresholds and timing for early resuscitation, informing protocolized sepsis care and quality metrics. It synthesizes RCTs and large observational data to balance risks of under- and over-resuscitation.

Clinical Implications: Avoid under-resuscitation (<20 mL/kg) early after diagnosis; prioritize completing 30 mL/kg within 3 hours when clinically appropriate, while recognizing that very high volumes (>45 mL/kg) may be harmful in observational data and require individualized assessment.

Key Findings

  • Randomized trials showed no mortality difference between liberal (~43–72 mL/kg) and restrictive (~30 mL/kg) strategies (RR 1.00 [0.81–1.24]).
  • Low fluid dosing (<20 mL/kg) was associated with increased mortality in 11 of 13 studies (sign test p < 0.001).
  • Completing 30 mL/kg within 3 hours was associated with survival benefit across four studies (trend).

Methodological Strengths

  • Comprehensive search across four databases with inclusion of both RCTs and adjusted observational studies
  • Large aggregate sample size (119,583) enabling exploration of dosing thresholds and timing

Limitations

  • Certainty of evidence rated low to very low for several endpoints
  • Heterogeneity in dosing cutoffs and timing windows; limited number of RCTs (three) for dosing comparisons

Future Directions: Prospective, protocolized RCTs testing timing targets (e.g., completion of 30 mL/kg within 3 hours) and patient-level phenotypes to refine individualized fluid strategies.

OBJECTIVES: While general agreement exists on many sepsis management principles, the details of early fluid resuscitation in sepsis remain contentious. The aim of the current review is to examine the impact of early (≤ 8 hr) fluid dosing, timing, and guideline-based resuscitation on mortality in sepsis. DATA SOURCES: PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane, and Google Scholar from January 1, 2000, to November 8, 2024. STUDY SELECTION: Randomized controlled trials and observational data, adjusting for confounding, for adults (≥ 18 yr) with sepsis. DATA EXTRACTION: From 2,169 citations, 30 studies with 119,583 patients were included. DATA SYNTHESIS: Dosing: three randomized trials suggest no mortality difference between more liberal (~43-72 mL/kg) vs. more restrictive (as low as 30 mL/kg) fluid resuscitative strategies (relative risk, 1.00 [0.81-1.24]). Eleven of 13 studies observed mortality risk when low-fluid volumes were administered (< 20 mL/kg; effect direction/sign test: p < 0.001). Six of 11 studies observed mortality risk when fluid volume dosing exceeded higher limits (> 45 mL/kg; p = 0.55). Timing: four of four studies observed a survival benefit with earlier completion of 30 mL/kg (within 3 hr; p = 0.12). Thirty mL/kg by discrete time: less than or equal to 1 and less than or equal to 2 hours-two studies observed survival benefit; less than or equal to 3 hours-one study observed survival benefit and three studies observed no mortality impact; and less than or equal to 6 hours-two studies observed a survival benefit, four studies observed no impact, and two studies observed increased mortality risk (both > 30 groups received > 50 and > 70 mL/kg). CONCLUSIONS: For fluid resuscitation within 8 hours of sepsis diagnosis: 1) randomized trials suggest no mortality difference between more restrictive and more liberal fluid resuscitative strategies (certainty of evidence: low); 2) dosing less than 20 mL/kg has an effect on increased mortality (low certainty); 3) observational studies trend toward increased mortality with higher volume resuscitation (> 45 mL/kg) but are not supported by randomized trials (very low certainty); and 4) survival benefit is observed when 30 mL/kg is completed within 3 hours (low certainty).

2. Parsimonious Subphenotyping Algorithms Perform Differently in Patients With Sepsis and Hematologic Malignancy.

70Level IICohort
Critical care medicine · 2025PMID: 40637495

In a prospective ICU cohort (n=930; 42% active malignancy), IL-8–based parsimonious subphenotyping assigned more hematologic malignancy patients to a hyperinflammatory class than the IL-6 algorithm (58% vs 32%). Hematologic malignancy attenuated mortality association of the IL-6 hyperinflammatory class but not the IL-8 class, which remained independently associated with mortality (HR 1.50).

Impact: Demonstrates that malignancy status and neutropenia modify sepsis subphenotype performance, guiding algorithm choice and trial enrichment in a growing ICU population with cancer.

Clinical Implications: For patients with hematologic malignancy, IL-8–based subphenotyping may better preserve prognostic discrimination and inform risk stratification and adaptive trial designs.

Key Findings

  • IL-8 algorithm assigned 58% of hematologic malignancy patients to a hyperinflammatory class vs 32% by the IL-6 algorithm.
  • Leukemia and neutropenia were overrepresented in the IL-8 hyperinflammatory class.
  • Hematologic malignancy attenuated mortality association of IL-6 hyperinflammatory class (interaction p=0.037), but IL-8 hyperinflammatory class retained independent mortality association (HR 1.50; 95% CI 1.08–2.07; p=0.014).

Methodological Strengths

  • Prospective cohort with a large sample (n=930) and high malignancy prevalence (42%) enabling interaction analyses
  • Use of two published parsimonious algorithms and Cox models to test effect modification

Limitations

  • Single quaternary-center cohort may limit generalizability
  • Subphenotype assignment relies on selected biomarkers that may be perturbed by malignancy and therapies

Future Directions: Independent derivation/validation of subphenotyping in oncology ICU populations and testing of phenotype-responsive therapies in adaptive trials.

OBJECTIVES: Latent class assignment-derived subphenotyping algorithms may identify treatment-responsive subgroups of critically ill patients with sepsis and acute respiratory distress syndrome. It is unclear if these algorithms are generalizable to patients with comorbid malignancy, a state which may perturb influential inflammatory biomarkers. This study aimed to test whether malignancy or neutropenia modified the effect of subphenotype assignment by two algorithms as applied to a prospective cohort enriched for ICU patients with active malignancy. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study at a single U.S. quaternary referral center. SETTING/PATIENTS: ICU patients older than 18 admitted to an ICU with a primary admission indication of sepsis. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We applied two published subphenotyping algorithms utilizing either interleukin (IL)-6 or IL-8 (in addition to soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 and bicarbonate) to our cohort of 930 patients with sepsis, 396 (42%) of whom had active malignancy. A greater proportion of hematologic malignancy patients were assigned the "hyperinflammatory" subphenotype by the IL-8-utilizing algorithm than the IL-6 algorithm (58% vs. 32%). Patients with leukemia and neutropenia were overrepresented among those classified as hyperinflammatory by IL-8 algorithm. We constructed Cox proportional hazards models to assess for interaction between the presence of solid malignancy, hematologic malignancy, and severe neutropenia and the subphenotype/mortality association. Hematologic malignancy uniquely appeared to attenuate the associated mortality of the IL-6-assigned hyperinflammatory subphenotype (interaction; p = 0.037), but not the IL-8-assigned hyperinflammatory subphenotype (interaction; p = 0.260), which retained an independent association with mortality in hematologic malignancy subjects (hazard ratio, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.08-2.07; p = 0.014). CONCLUSIONS: As subphenotyping algorithms are being tested as point-of-care prognostic tools, it is important to understand their generalizability to patients with comorbid malignancy, which constitute an increasing proportion of ICU patients. The differential behavior of these algorithms in patients with hematologic malignancy suggests a need for independent derivation and validation in this specific population.

3. Derivation and Validation of Pediatric Sepsis-Associated Acute Kidney Injury Subphenotypes With Prognostic Relevance.

70Level IIICohort
Pediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies · 2025PMID: 40637493

Using data from 13 U.S. PICUs (n=1,455), latent class analysis identified two pediatric SAKI subphenotypes. The pSAKI-2 subtype showed greater inflammatory and coagulopathic derangements, higher severe/persistent AKI (day 3–4: 54% vs 23%; day 7: 31% vs 12%), increased CRRT use (21% vs 6%), and higher adjusted mortality odds (aOR 1.59).

Impact: Provides reproducible, clinically recognizable SAKI subphenotypes with strong prognostic separation and a parsimonious classifier, enabling prognostic enrichment in pediatric sepsis trials.

Clinical Implications: Early identification of pSAKI-2 can guide intensified monitoring, fluid management, and early kidney support strategies, and inform stratification/enrichment in interventional trials.

Key Findings

  • Two-class latent model (pSAKI-1 vs pSAKI-2) best fit in both derivation (n=873) and validation (n=582) cohorts.
  • pSAKI-2 had higher severe/persistent AKI (day 3–4: 54% vs 23%; day 7: 31% vs 12%; both p<0.001) and higher CRRT use (21% vs 6%; p<0.001).
  • pSAKI-2 independently associated with increased mortality (aOR 1.59; 95% CI 1.04–2.41; p=0.03); parsimonious classifier C-statistic 0.94 (derivation) and 0.85 (internal validation).

Methodological Strengths

  • Multi-center dataset with derivation and external validation cohorts
  • Latent class analysis using readily available variables and development of a parsimonious classifier

Limitations

  • Retrospective secondary analysis; external validation beyond the study network is pending
  • Restricted to septic shock with early SAKI, which may limit generalizability to broader pediatric sepsis

Future Directions: Prospective validation and assessment of phenotype-guided management/therapeutic strategies to improve kidney outcomes in pediatric sepsis.

OBJECTIVES: Sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SAKI) is a heterogeneous syndrome associated with poor outcomes. Subphenotypes of SAKI with prognostic and therapeutic relevance have been identified in adults, but not in children. We sought to identify reproducible and clinically relevant pediatric SAKI (pSAKI) subphenotypes using readily available clinical and laboratory data. DESIGN: Secondary analysis of a retrospective observational study of pediatric sepsis. SETTING: Thirteen PICUs in the United States from January 2012 to January 2018. PATIENTS: Patients aged 0-18 years with septic shock (sepsis and requiring vasoactive medications) and day 1-2 SAKI (≥ Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes stage 1 by serum creatinine). INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Fourteen hundred fifty-five patients were included after inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied: 873 (60%) in the derivation cohort and 582 (40%) in the external validation cohort. A two-subphenotype latent class analysis model had the best fit in both cohorts: pSAKI subphenotype 1 (pSAKI-1) and pSAKI subphenotype 2 (pSAKI-2). pSAKI-2 was characterized by younger age, more organ support, greater fluid accumulation, and laboratory evidence of inflammation, acid-base derangement, thrombocytopenia, and coagulopathy. pSAKI-2 had uniformly worse outcomes, including higher rates of severe and persistent AKI at days 3-4 (54% vs. 23%, p < 0.001) and day 7 (31% vs. 12%, p < 0.001), increased use of continuous renal replacement therapy (21% vs. 6%, p < 0.001), and independently increased odds of mortality after adjustment for potential confounders (adjusted odds ratio 1.59; 95% CI, 1.04-2.41; p = 0.03). A parsimonious classification model accurately identified pSAKI-2 membership (C-statistic 0.94 [95% CI, 0.92-0.95] and 0.85 [95% CI, 0.82-0.88], respectively, in the derivation and internal validation cohorts). CONCLUSIONS: We identified two distinct early pSAKI subphenotypes using readily available data that exhibit differential risk for poor outcomes and can be identified from a parsimonious set of variables. Pending external validation, operationalization of pSAKI subphenotypes may allow for prognostic enrichment to guide clinical care and inform clinical trial enrollment.