Daily Sepsis Research Analysis
Three impactful studies on sepsis span AI-driven phenotyping, biomarker-guided risk stratification, and pragmatic ED triage. A multicenter cohort showed large language models can reliably extract presenting syndromes from admission notes that correlate with infection source, resistance, and mortality; a pediatric cohort identified immune-redox signatures predicting severe MODS and death; and an external validation found the RISE UP score outperformed qSOFA/MEWS/NEWS for 30-day mortality predicti
Summary
Three impactful studies on sepsis span AI-driven phenotyping, biomarker-guided risk stratification, and pragmatic ED triage. A multicenter cohort showed large language models can reliably extract presenting syndromes from admission notes that correlate with infection source, resistance, and mortality; a pediatric cohort identified immune-redox signatures predicting severe MODS and death; and an external validation found the RISE UP score outperformed qSOFA/MEWS/NEWS for 30-day mortality prediction.
Research Themes
- AI/LLM-enabled clinical phenotype extraction for sepsis
- Immune-redox biomarkers predicting sepsis-related organ dysfunction and outcomes
- External validation of pragmatic risk scores for ED sepsis triage
Selected Articles
1. Syndromic Analysis of Sepsis Cohorts Using Large Language Models.
In a 5-hospital cohort of 104,248 adults with possible infection, an LLM extracted presenting signs/symptoms from admission notes with high specificity and good balanced accuracy, enabling syndromic clusters that correlated with infection sources. Skin/soft-tissue symptoms increased MRSA risk, while cardiopulmonary symptoms were linked to higher in-hospital mortality; patterns were inverse for MDRGN organisms.
Impact: Demonstrates scalable, validated extraction of symptom phenotypes that inform antimicrobial risk and mortality, overcoming a major barrier in sepsis epidemiology and decision support.
Clinical Implications: LLM-derived syndromes could augment empiric antibiotic selection (e.g., MRSA coverage when skin/soft tissue symptoms present) and early risk stratification, pending prospective integration and real-time validation.
Key Findings
- LLM labeled 98.7% of admission notes; validation showed accuracy 99.3%, balanced accuracy 84.6%, PPV 68.4%, sensitivity 69.7%, specificity 99.6%.
- Syndromes derived from 30 common signs/symptoms correlated with infection sources.
- Skin/soft-tissue symptoms increased MRSA culture positivity (AOR 1.73; 95% CI 1.49-2.00), while absence of GI (AOR 0.63) or urinary symptoms (AOR 0.34) also associated with MRSA; inverse patterns for MDRGN.
- Cardiopulmonary symptoms were associated with higher in-hospital mortality (AOR 1.30; 95% CI 1.17-1.45) after adjustment.
Methodological Strengths
- Large, multicenter cohort with blinded manual validation of LLM labels
- Multivariable adjustment and unsupervised clustering linking phenotypes to microbiology and outcomes
Limitations
- Retrospective single–health system design limits generalizability and causal inference
- Infection source derived from discharge codes; PPV and sensitivity of labels were moderate
Future Directions: Prospective, real-time deployment to guide empiric therapy and stewardship; external validation across systems and integration with EHR-driven decision support.
IMPORTANCE: Presenting signs and symptoms affect the care of patients with possible sepsis. However, signs and symptoms are not incorporated into most large observational studies because they are difficult to extract from clinical notes at scale. OBJECTIVE: To assess the use of large language models (LLMs) to extract presenting signs and symptoms from admission notes and characterize their associations with infectious diagnoses, multidrug-resistant infections, and mortality. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cohort study obtained data from 5 Massachusetts hospitals within 1 health care system between June 1, 2015, and August 1, 2022. Participants were hospitalized adult patients with possible infection (determined by blood culture drawn and intravenous antibiotics administered within 24 hours of arrival). An LLM (LLaMA 3 8B; Meta) was used to extract up to 10 presenting signs and symptoms from each patient's history-and-physical admission notes. LLM-generated labels were validated by blinded review of 303 random admission notes. Data analyses were performed from July 2023 to August 2025. EXPOSURES: Thirty most common signs and symptoms were retained as exposures, and unsupervised clustering was used to create syndromes, which were compared with infection sources derived from the International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification discharge codes. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Outcomes included positive cultures for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), positive cultures for multidrug-resistant gram-negative (MDRGN) organisms, and in-hospital mortality. Multivariable logistic regression was used to adjust for demographics, comorbidities, physiologic markers of severity of illness, and time to antibiotics. RESULTS: Among the 104 248 patients (median [IQR] age, 66 [52-78] years; 54 137 males [51.9%]) included, 23 619 (22.7%) had sepsis without shock, 25 990 (24.9%) had septic shock, and 94 913 (91.0%) had 1 or more admission note within 24 hours. The LLM labeled the notes of 93 674 of 94 913 patients (98.7%). On manual validation, LLM labels had an accuracy of 99.3% (95% CI, 99.2%-99.3%), balanced accuracy of 84.6% (95% CI, 83.5%-85.8%), positive predictive value of 68.4% (95% CI, 66.0%-70.7%), sensitivity of 69.7% (95% CI, 67.3%-72.0%), and specificity of 99.6% (95% CI, 99.6%-99.6%) compared with the physician medical record reviewer. The 30 most common signs and symptoms were clustered into syndromes that correlated with infection sources. Presence of skin and soft tissue symptoms (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.73; 95% CI, 1.49-2.00) and absence of gastrointestinal (AOR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.54-0.73) or urinary tract symptoms (AOR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.22-0.50) were associated with MRSA culture positivity; inverse associations were seen for MDRGN organisms. Cardiopulmonary symptoms were associated with increased mortality (AOR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.17-1.45). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This cohort study found that an LLM accurately extracted presenting signs and symptoms from admission notes that clustered into syndromes differentially correlated with infection sources, multidrug-resistant infections, and mortality. Further research is warranted to evaluate the value of large-scale sign-and-symptom data in models of antibiotic choice, effectiveness, and outcomes in patients with possible sepsis.
2. IL-6, IFN-γ, IL-17A elevations and glutathione depletion predict severe MODS and mortality in critically ill children with COVID-19 and bacterial sepsis: a prospective cohort study from the Brazilian Amazon.
In a prospective cohort of 62 critically ill children, early elevations in IL-6, TNF-α, IFN-γ, and IL-17A with concurrent oxidative stress (low GSH/TEAC, high TBARS) predicted severe MODS and 28-day mortality, most pronounced in bacterial sepsis. Divergent biomarker trajectories by day 5 distinguished survivors from non-survivors.
Impact: Defines an integrated immune-redox signature with clear temporal dynamics that stratifies pediatric MODS risk, providing a feasible framework for prognostication and targeted interventions.
Clinical Implications: Serial measurement of cytokines and oxidative stress markers may improve early prognostication and guide intensity of monitoring or immunomodulatory strategies in pediatric sepsis-related MODS, especially where resources are limited.
Key Findings
- Day-1 elevations in TNF-α, IFN-γ, and IL-17A were observed in MODS groups, with bacterial MODS showing the strongest increases; IL-6, IL-2, and IL-10 were markedly elevated in bacterial MODS.
- By day 5, MODS groups had reduced GSH/TEAC and increased TBARS; non-survivors showed persistent proinflammatory cytokines and oxidative stress.
- IL-6 was particularly elevated in non-survivors with bacterial MODS, while IFN-γ was prominent in viral MODS non-survivors; biomarker trajectories diverged by day 5 and associated with mortality.
- Simple indices (NLR, CAR, VIS) correlated with biomarker levels and severity; survival was reduced in MODS groups (Kaplan–Meier p=0.0005).
Methodological Strengths
- Prospective design with serial sampling at defined time points (admission and day 5)
- Integrated assessment of cytokines and oxidative stress markers with survival analysis
Limitations
- Single-center study with small sample size limits generalizability and power for subgroup analyses
- Potential confounding and lack of interventional testing to establish causality
Future Directions: Validate immune-redox signatures in multicenter cohorts; develop bedside panels and thresholds; test targeted immunomodulation guided by trajectories.
BACKGROUND: Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality in pediatric intensive care units (PICUs), particularly when triggered by SARS-CoV-2 or bacterial sepsis. This study aimed to investigate the association between inflammatory and oxidative stress biomarkers and the development and outcome of MODS in critically ill children with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 or bacterial infections. METHODS: In this prospective, single-center cohort study (May 2020-December 2024), 62 pediatric patients (29 days to <18 years) were stratified into three groups: SARS-CoV-2 without MODS (n = 22), SARS-CoV-2 with MODS (n = 20), and bacterial MODS (n = 20). Circulating cytokines (IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-10, TNF-α, IFN-γ, IL-17A) and oxidative stress markers (GSH, TBARS, TEAC) were quantified at PICU admission and on day 5. Associations with organ dysfunction and 28-day mortality were assessed using non-parametric statistical analyses and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates. RESULTS: MODS groups exhibited on day 1 sustained elevations in TNF-α, IFN-γ, and IL-17A-most pronounced in bacterial MODS (Group 3; p < 0.0001). IFN-γ was notably increased in viral MODS (Group 2). Group 3 also showed marked elevations in IL-6, IL-2, and IL-10 (p < 0.0001). By day 5, both MODS groups demonstrated significant reduced GSH and TEAC and elevated TBARS, the most severe in Group 3. In contrast, Group 1 exhibited stable cytokine profiles and preserved antioxidant status throughout. Non-survivors showed persistently elevated IL-6, TNF-α, IFN-γ, and IL-17A, coupled with sustained depletion of GSH and TEAC, and increased TBARS levels (all p < 0.0001). IL-6 and IFN-γ were particularly elevated in non-survivors with bacterial and viral MODS, respectively. Biomarker trajectories diverged between survivors and non-survivors by day 5, with failure to normalize immune-redox profiles associated with mortality. Accessible indices such as NLR, CAR, and VIS correlated with biomarker levels and disease severity. Kaplan-Meier analysis confirmed reduced survival in MODS groups (p = 0.0005). CONCLUSIONS: A distinct cytokine and oxidative stress signature-marked by early and sustained elevations in IL-6, TNF-α, IFN-γ, IL-17A, and TBARS, and depletion of GSH and TEAC-is associated with mortality in pediatric MODS. Bacterial MODS was distinguished by the most severe immune-redox imbalance. Integrated immune-redox profiling offers prognostic value and may inform precision-targeted interventions, particularly in resource-limited settings.
3. Predicting 30-day mortality in emergency department patients with suspected infection: external validation of the RISE UP score in a single tertiary centre.
In 5,038 ED visits for suspected infection, the RISE UP score showed good discrimination for 30-day mortality (AUC 0.809), outperforming qSOFA, MEWS, and NEWS, with strong calibration. A low-risk threshold (<5%) yielded a high NPV (97.7%), supporting safe rule-out of poor outcomes.
Impact: Provides robust external validation of a practical risk score surpassing commonly used tools, facilitating ED triage and resource allocation for suspected infection and sepsis.
Clinical Implications: RISE UP can identify low-risk patients for de-escalated monitoring and highlight high-risk patients for closer observation or escalation, potentially improving throughput and outcomes.
Key Findings
- RISE UP achieved AUC 0.809 (95% CI 0.786–0.832) for 30-day mortality, outperforming qSOFA (0.675), MEWS (0.688), and NEWS (0.725).
- Low-risk threshold (<5%) provided NPV 97.7% and sensitivity 79.3% for 30-day mortality.
- Performance remained robust in older adults (≥65 years) and in patients with sepsis; calibration was good across outcomes.
Methodological Strengths
- Large single-center cohort with multi-year data and comprehensive comparison to established scores
- Clear reporting of discrimination, calibration, and clinically actionable thresholds
Limitations
- Single-center retrospective design may limit generalizability
- Potential selection and information bias inherent to EHR-based studies
Future Directions: Prospective multicenter validation and integration into ED workflows with impact evaluation on triage decisions and outcomes.
OBJECTIVE: Rapid identification of high-risk and low-risk patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) influences clinical management and can help optimise patient outcomes as well as resource allocation. This study aims to externally validate the Risk Stratification in the Emergency Department in Acutely Ill Older Patients (RISE UP) score in adult patients in the ED with suspected infection. Furthermore, generalisability was assessed by comparing the discriminatory ability of the RISE UP with the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) as well as the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) and National Early Warning Score (NEWS). DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Single-centre study in the ED of a tertiary, university-affiliated hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Adult patients with suspected infection presenting at the ED for internal medicine from 2016 to 2022. OUTCOMES: The primary outcome was all-cause 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes were all-cause 14-day mortality, 7-day mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. METHODS: Prognostic performance was evaluated using discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)) and a calibration plot. RESULTS: Of the included 5038 ED visits, there was a 30-day mortality of 7.1%. Discrimination of RISE UP for 30-day mortality was good (AUC 0.809; 95% CI 0.786 to 0.832) and significantly higher than that for the other risk scores: qSOFA (AUC 0.675; 95% CI 0.644 to 0.707), MEWS (AUC 0.688; 95% CI 0.658 to 0.718) and NEWS (AUC 0.725; 95% CI 0.696 to 0.754) (p<0.001). For 14-day and 7-day mortality, RISE UP had the highest AUC, but NEWS performed best for ICU admission. The RISE UP score was well calibrated and had significantly better discriminatory ability in older patients aged ≥65 years (AUC 0.772; 95% CI 0.738 to 0.806; p<0.001) and patients with sepsis (AUC 0.746; 95% CI 0.695 to 0.798; p<0.05) compared with the other scores. Low-risk patients with a RISE UP score of <5% yielded a negative predictive value of 97.7% (95% CI 97.2 to 98.1) and a sensitivity of 79.3% (95% CI 74.7 to 83.4). CONCLUSIONS: The RISE UP score outperformed the qSOFA, MEWS and NEWS in predicting 30-day mortality. It is generalisable to an adult infection-specific cohort and may facilitate distinction between high-risk and low-risk patients in the ED, particularly to rule out poor outcomes.