Daily Sepsis Research Analysis
Analyzed 66 papers and selected 3 impactful papers.
Summary
Three papers stood out today: a comprehensive meta-analysis defining bedside clinical signs for neonatal sepsis and mortality risk; a population-based cohort showing baseline statin use associates with lower in-hospital mortality in sepsis while chronic corticosteroids/NSAIDs associate with higher risk; and a US surveillance study quantifying the burden and antimicrobial resistance of invasive E. coli infections driving sepsis, especially in older adults.
Research Themes
- Early clinical recognition and triage in neonatal sepsis
- Baseline medications and comorbidity shaping sepsis outcomes
- Antimicrobial resistance and epidemiology of invasive E. coli sepsis
Selected Articles
1. Clinical Signs Associated With Mortality and Sepsis in Young Infants: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.
This PRISMA-adherent meta-analysis of 52 studies (140,885 infants aged 0–59 days) quantifies associations between specific clinical signs and mortality or sepsis. Weak/abnormal/absent cry, inability to feed, poor feeding, altered consciousness, and prolonged capillary refill showed the strongest mortality links; poor feeding, prolonged capillary refill, lethargy, altered consciousness, and feeding intolerance were most associated with culture-confirmed sepsis. Findings validate WHO IMCI signs and identify additional signals to refine algorithms.
Impact: Provides pooled, high-quality evidence to guide bedside triage where diagnostics are limited, potentially reducing neonatal sepsis mortality globally.
Clinical Implications: In resource-limited settings, prioritize signs with strongest associations (e.g., weak/absent cry, inability to feed, prolonged capillary refill) for urgent referral and empiric therapy. Consider updating IMCI to incorporate additional high-yield signs.
Key Findings
- Across 52 studies (n=140,885), 16 signs associated with mortality and 11 with culture-confirmed sepsis; 13 with clinical sepsis.
- Strongest mortality associations: weak/abnormal/absent cry (OR 20.48), unable to feed (OR 18.32), not feeding well (OR 13.39), drowsiness/unconsciousness (OR 12.46), prolonged capillary refill (OR 12.06).
- All WHO IMCI signs were significantly associated with mortality or culture-confirmed sepsis; additional non-IMCI signs were identified.
Methodological Strengths
- Comprehensive PRISMA-aligned search with dual independent extraction and standardized quality assessments (QUADAS-2, QUAPAS, Newcastle-Ottawa).
- Random-effects meta-analysis with large aggregate sample enabling robust pooled estimates.
Limitations
- Heterogeneity in study designs, settings, and definitions of clinical sepsis and measurement of signs.
- Potential publication bias and limited culture confirmation in some included studies.
Future Directions: Prospective validation of refined sign-based algorithms in diverse low-resource settings, integration with point-of-care tools, and evaluation of impact on antibiotic stewardship and mortality.
IMPORTANCE: Early and accurate identification of clinical warning signs in young infants may help avert sepsis morbidity and mortality in resource-limited settings. OBJECTIVE: To systematically review evidence on the association and accuracy of clinical signs to diagnose sepsis or predict mortality in young infants aged 0 to 59 days to inform management in settings with limited laboratory diagnostics. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, Global Index Medicus, and Cochrane CENTRAL Register were searched from inception through May 2023, with updated searches on September 5, 2024. An umbrella search of systematic reviews was conducted in January 2024. STUDY SELECTION: Included studies reported data on 24 infant clinical signs informed by current World Health Organization (WHO) Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) and hospital-based algorithms for the care of sick young infants reporting odds ratios (OR), risk ratios, or sensitivity and specificity. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Data were extracted independently by 2 reviewers. Quality assessment used the Newcastle-Ottawa, Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2), and Quality Assessment of Prognostic Accuracy Studies (QUAPAS) scales. OR data were pooled using random-effects models. Data analysis was performed from July to September 2025. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: OR of all-cause mortality, culture-confirmed sepsis, or clinical sepsis (with access to laboratory investigations). RESULTS: Of 7641 studies, 52 studies with 140 885 participants were included. A total of 16 clinical signs were significantly associated with mortality, 11 with culture-confirmed sepsis, and 13 with clinical sepsis. For mortality, the 5 strongest associations were weak, abnormal, or absent cry (OR, 20.48; 95% CI, 6.59-63.67); not able to feed at all (OR, 18.32; 95% CI, 6.00-55.97); not feeding well (OR, 13.39; 95% CI, 6.97-25.72); drowsiness or unconsciousness (OR, 12.46; 95% CI, 6.06-25.62); and prolonged capillary refill (OR, 12.06; 95% CI, 2.77-52.53). The top 5 signs associated with culture-confirmed sepsis were not feeding well (OR, 4.52; 95% CI, 1.10-18.59); prolonged capillary refill (OR, 3.59; 95% CI, 2.05-6.28); lethargy (OR, 3.44; 95% CI, 1.89-6.26); drowsiness or unconsciousness (OR, 3.07; 95% CI, 2.01-4.68); and feeding intolerance (OR, 2.95; 95% CI, 1.67-5.21). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: All current WHO IMCI clinical signs were significantly associated with mortality or culture-confirmed sepsis. Several signs not in IMCI were identified that may improve identification of life-threatening illness in young infants in resource-limited settings where clinical sign algorithms are the primary diagnostic tool.
2. Baseline morbidity and chronic medications as determinants of sepsis outcomes: focus on statins, corticosteroids, and NSAIDs in a population-based cohort of 59,578 patients.
In a population-based cohort of 59,578 adults hospitalized with sepsis across 65 hospitals, chronic statin use was associated with lower in-hospital mortality (OR 0.782), whereas chronic corticosteroid and NSAID use were associated with higher mortality (OR 1.191 and 1.415). Baseline morbidity burden (GMA) strongly stratified risk and may support clinical decision-making and resource allocation.
Impact: Largest population-based analysis linking pre-sepsis chronic medications and morbidity burden to mortality, generating actionable hypotheses for statin continuation/initiating trials and risk stratification.
Clinical Implications: Consider continuation of statins when clinically feasible in sepsis and prioritize high GMA patients for intensive monitoring. Exercise caution with chronic corticosteroid/NSAID users and evaluate for potential risks; findings support designing pragmatic RCTs on statin strategies in sepsis.
Key Findings
- Among 59,578 sepsis admissions, in-hospital mortality was 18.5%, with most infections community-acquired and associated with renal/cardiovascular dysfunction.
- Chronic statin use associated with lower mortality (OR 0.782), while chronic corticosteroids (OR 1.191) and NSAIDs (OR 1.415) associated with higher mortality.
- Adjusted Morbidity Group (GMA) effectively stratified mortality risk; other risk factors included age, active cancer, cirrhosis, and bloodstream infection.
Methodological Strengths
- Population-based design across 65 hospitals with linked administrative datasets and multivariable adjustment.
- Pre-specified registration (NCT06354452) and standardized definition of chronic medication exposure.
Limitations
- Observational design with potential residual confounding and indication bias despite adjustment.
- Medication exposure based on prescription fills; dosing, adherence, and in-hospital management were not captured.
Future Directions: Pragmatic randomized trials testing statin continuation/initiation strategies in sepsis; causal inference studies to probe corticosteroid/NSAID associations; integration of GMA into triage and resource allocation tools.
BACKGROUND: Sepsis is a leading cause of hospitalisation and mortality, particularly among older adults with multiple chronic conditions. While comorbidities are known to influence outcomes, the role of chronic medication use before sepsis onset remains underexplored. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of baseline health status and chronic treatments on sepsis-related mortality. METHODS: A retrospective population-based cohort study was conducted using linked administrative data from the Catalan Health System. Adults hospitalised with sepsis across 65 public hospitals in Catalonia during 2018-2019 were included. Baseline morbidity was assessed using the Adjusted Morbidity Groups (GMA) tool. Chronic medication use was defined as having received six or more prescription fills of a drug class in the 8 months prior to admission. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Among 59,578 sepsis patients (mean age 75.4 years), the in-hospital mortality rate was 18.5%. Most infections were community-acquired (88%) and associated with renal (58.3%) or cardiovascular (25.7%) dysfunction. The cohort had high comorbidity rates, with a GMA of 37.3, high level of dependency on health services; and high baseline health expenditure. Chronic use of statins, corticosteroids, and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), was observed in 28.5%, 5.6%, and 2.3% of patients respectively. Patients with high or very high GMA scores had the highest mortality rates. In multivariable analysis, chronic statin use was associated with lower odds of death (OR 0.782; 95% CI: 0.740-0.825), while corticosteroid (OR 1.191, 95% CI 1.085-1.306) and NSAID use (OR 1.415, 95% CI 1.226-1.632) were linked to increased mortality. Other risk factors included advanced age, active cancer, cirrhosis, and bloodstream infection. CONCLUSION: In this large population-based study, baseline comorbidities and chronic treatments significantly influenced sepsis outcomes. Statin use was associated with lower in-hospital mortality, whereas corticosteroids and NSAIDs were linked to worse prognosis. The GMA score proved useful in stratifying patient risk and may help to inform clinical decision-making and resource planning. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT06354452.
3. Extraintestinal Invasive Escherichia coli Infections in the US.
Active, population-based surveillance across 9 US sites found an annual incidence of 74.7 per 100,000 for invasive E. coli infections, with markedly higher rates in adults ≥60 years. Antimicrobial resistance was substantial (ESBL 13.8%; ciprofloxacin 25.9%; TMP-SMX 28.8%), and common O serotypes included O25B, O2, and O6. Findings quantify sepsis-relevant burden and resistance patterns to guide empiric therapy and prevention.
Impact: Provides contemporary, population-based incidence and resistance data for a leading sepsis pathogen, enabling policy, empiric therapy optimization, and potential vaccine target prioritization.
Clinical Implications: Empiric regimens for suspected invasive E. coli in older adults should consider ESBL and fluoroquinolone/TMP-SMX resistance. Surveillance-informed stewardship and exploration of O-serotype–based prevention strategies are warranted.
Key Findings
- Estimated annual incidence was 74.7 per 100,000; rates were 225.0 per 100,000 in adults ≥60 years versus 30.6 in younger patients.
- Antimicrobial resistance: ESBL-producing E. coli accounted for 13.8%; ciprofloxacin resistance 25.9%; TMP-SMX resistance 28.8%.
- Most infections (90.9%) were bloodstream; in-hospital mortality was 7.9%; prevalent O serotypes were O25B (16.2%), O2 (11.0%), O6 (9.9%).
Methodological Strengths
- Active laboratory- and population-based multi-site surveillance with standardized isolate characterization and in silico serotyping.
- Comprehensive capture of clinical demographics, infection types, and antimicrobial susceptibility.
Limitations
- Short surveillance window (3 months) limits seasonal assessment; generalizability constrained to participating sites.
- Observational design without longitudinal outcomes beyond hospitalization.
Future Directions: Extend surveillance temporally and geographically, integrate genomic epidemiology to track high-risk clones, and model impacts of prevention strategies (e.g., vaccines, catheter stewardship).
IMPORTANCE: Extraintestinal invasive Escherichia coli infections are a leading cause of sepsis and hospitalization, further complicated by increasing rates of antimicrobial resistance. OBJECTIVE: To describe the US epidemiology of invasive E coli infections and their clinical and molecular features. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study used active laboratory- and population-based surveillance data from 9 US sites with a total population of more than 7.2 million people for invasive E coli in normally sterile body sites, collected from June to August 2023 from medical records and isolate characterization. Data were analyzed from November 2023 to February 2024. EXPOSURES: Laboratory-confirmed identification of any E coli organism isolated from a normally sterile body site obtained from a resident of the surveillance area. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Outcomes of interest were population-based and site-specific incidence rate estimates of E coli infections, demographic and clinical characteristics, antimicrobial susceptibility profiles, and predicted O serotypes by in silico serotyping. RESULTS: Among 1345 cases of E coli infection in 1334 unique case-patients, the median (IQR) age was 68 (55-79) years, and 762 case-patients (57.1%) were female; 1223 infections (90.9%) were from blood and 122 infections (9.1%) were from other sterile sites. The overall estimated annual incidence rate was 74.7 per 100 000 population (surveillance site range, 51.4-96.0 per 100 000 population). Estimated incidence rates were higher among cases in patients aged 60 years or older compared with younger patients (225.0 vs 30.6 per 100 000 population), although rates were similar for females and males aged 60 years or older (224.5 vs 224.0 per 100 000 population). The most common underlying medical condition reported was diabetes (457 patients [34.0%]). Pyelonephritis (267 infections [19.9%]) and lower urinary tract infections (495 infections [36.8%]) were the most frequently associated infection types. In total, 1279 cases (95.1%) were hospitalized for less than 30 days after isolate collection; 106 case-patients (7.9%) died. Overall, 185 infections (13.8%) were due to extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing E coli; 275 of 1061 isolates (25.9%) were resistant to ciprofloxacin and 370 of 1286 (28.8%) were resistant to trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole. Of 846 sequenced isolates, the most prevalent O serotypes were O25B (137 isolates [16.2%]), O2 (93 isolates [11.0%]), and O6 (84 isolates [9.9%]). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This cohort study using population-based public health surveillance data identified a substantial burden of invasive E coli disease, especially in older people, with high rates of antimicrobial resistance. These results can help inform national public health prevention efforts.