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Daily Report

Daily Sepsis Research Analysis

06/26/2026
3 papers selected
75 analyzed

Analyzed 75 papers and selected 3 impactful papers.

Summary

Three impactful studies advance sepsis science across prognosis, mechanism, and translational therapy. A registered meta-analysis maps the performance and biases of 235 mortality prediction models and identifies consistent prognosticators. A mechanistic ATAC-Seq study reveals cytokine-specific neutrophil chromatin programs that align with sepsis severity states, while a randomized ovine study shows megadose sodium ascorbate normalizes intracranial pressure and restores norepinephrine responsiveness.

Research Themes

  • Sepsis mortality risk prediction models: performance, bias, and common predictors
  • Cytokine-driven neutrophil epigenomic programs linked to sepsis severity
  • Translational modulation of intracranial hypertension and vasopressor responsiveness in sepsis

Selected Articles

1. Prediction models for mortality in patients with sepsis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

74Level IIMeta-analysis
Frontiers in medicine · 2026PMID: 42359097

Across 84 studies (235 models; ~2.7 million patient records), externally validated sepsis mortality models showed only moderate discrimination and many had high risk of bias by PROBAST+AI. Age, lactate, albumin, SOFA score, and vasopressor use consistently emerged as mortality predictors, and only 11 studies reported development plus internal and external validation.

Impact: This registered meta-analysis sets a benchmark for the methodological quality and real-world utility of sepsis mortality prediction, highlighting common pitfalls and robust predictors to prioritize in future models.

Clinical Implications: Clinicians should apply mortality prediction tools cautiously, favoring models with external validation and considering simple, consistent predictors (age, lactate, albumin, SOFA, vasopressors). Health systems should demand rigorous external validation, calibration, and impact analysis before deployment.

Key Findings

  • Included 84 studies reporting 235 sepsis mortality models encompassing ~2.7 million patient records and 461,387 deaths.
  • Externally validated models generally had moderate discrimination; many studies had high risk of bias by PROBAST+AI.
  • Common mortality predictors were age, lactate, albumin, SOFA score, and vasopressor use.
  • Only 11 studies (13.1%) reported model development, internal validation, and external validation.

Methodological Strengths

  • PROSPERO registration with predefined protocol (CRD42024604119)
  • Standardized appraisal (CHARMS) and risk-of-bias assessment tailored for AI models (PROBAST+AI) with quantitative pooling of AUC and ORs

Limitations

  • Predominance of retrospective ICU datasets and heterogeneous endpoints
  • Small minority of studies with full development–internal–external validation pipeline

Future Directions: Prospective, multicenter impact studies with prespecified protocols, robust external validation, calibration, decision-curve analysis, and transparent code/data sharing to improve generalizability and clinical adoption.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis remains a leading cause of mortality among critically ill patients worldwide. Although an increasing number of prediction models have been published in recent years, their predictive performance, methodological quality, and major predictors have not been comprehensively evaluated in a systematic and quantitative manner. This study aims to evaluate the performance of these models and to identify common predictors associated with sepsis mortality. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science for studies on sepsis mortality prediction models published up to July 1, 2025. Data were extracted and appraised using the Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modeling Studies (CHARMS), and risk of bias was assessed with the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool for Artificial Intelligence (PROBAST+AI). Meta-analyses were performed to pool area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) metric of externally validated models and the odds ratio (OR) of common predictors. The study was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42024604119). RESULTS: A total of 84 eligible studies were included, reporting 235 prediction models for sepsis mortality and involving approximately 2.7 million patient records reported across studies, with 461,387 deaths. Only 11(13.10%) studies encompassed model development, internal validation, and external validation. The included studies comprised 78(92.86%) retrospective cohort studies, 57(67.86%) studies developed in intensive care unit (ICU) settings, with MIMIC databases being among the most commonly used data sources. The most prevalent mortality endpoints were in-hospital (

2. Intravenous megadose sodium ascorbate normalises elevations in intracranial pressure and restores pressor responsiveness to norepinephrine in ovine Gram-negative sepsis.

72.5Level IIIRCT
Scientific reports · 2026PMID: 42350542

In a randomized ovine Gram-negative sepsis model with direct ventricular ICP monitoring, megadose sodium ascorbate (3 g/kg IV) normalized elevated ICP, improved CPP and MAP, and restored norepinephrine responsiveness within hours, whereas placebo did not. These data identify intracranial hypertension as a modifiable component of septic neuro-cardiovascular dysfunction.

Impact: This is the first demonstration that targeting intracranial hypertension with a feasible systemic therapy can concurrently improve cerebral and vascular hemodynamics in sepsis, opening a translational path to human trials.

Clinical Implications: Consider intracranial hypertension as a contributor to septic encephalopathy and hypotension; future trials should evaluate sodium ascorbate as an adjunct to improve CPP and vasopressor responsiveness while monitoring safety.

Key Findings

  • Megadose sodium ascorbate improved MAP versus placebo at 31 h (87±11 vs 66±7 mmHg; P=0.020).
  • Intracranial pressure normalized with ascorbate (17.0±3.4 to 9.3±1.9 mmHg) but remained elevated with placebo (20.6±3.7 to 19.3±5.0 mmHg; P=0.024).
  • Cerebral perfusion pressure increased with ascorbate (61±11 to 75±5 mmHg) versus no change with placebo (48±16 to 49±12 mmHg; P=0.046).
  • Norepinephrine pressor responsiveness, impaired by sepsis, was restored by ascorbate but not by placebo.

Methodological Strengths

  • Randomized, placebo-controlled large-animal (ovine) model with clinically relevant live E. coli sepsis and standardized resuscitation
  • Direct ventricular ICP monitoring with continuous hemodynamic measurements

Limitations

  • Preclinical animal study with small sample size (n=13) and short observation window (~31 h)
  • Megadose (3 g/kg) dosing may not directly translate to human safety/feasibility

Future Directions: Phase I/II clinical trials to assess safety, dose–response, and effects on ICP/CPP and vasopressor requirements; biomarker and neuro-monitoring-guided enrichment strategies.

Acute brain dysfunction (delirium) is common in sepsis, and many survivors develop persistent cognitive impairment. Cerebral hypoperfusion and edema are implicated, yet it is unknown whether intracranial hypertension contributes to the neurological sequelae of sepsis, and no therapies specifically target cerebral hemodynamic dysfunction. Intravenous megadose sodium ascorbate has been reported to reverse cerebral tissue ischemia and hypoxia and reduce vasopressor requirements in preclinical and clinical studies. Here, we test for the first time the effects of sepsis and megadose sodium ascorbate on intracranial pressure (ICP), cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP) and pressor responsiveness to norepinephrine in a clinically relevant ovine model of Gram-negative sepsis. Adult Merino ewes were surgically instrumented with lateral cerebral ventricular catheters and carotid arterial and jugular venous catheters. Non-anesthetized sheep were infused with intravenous live Escherichia coli for 31-h. After 23-h of sepsis animals received bolus fluid resuscitation (30 mL/kg from 23-23.5-h; sodium lactate) and were randomized to receive intravenous 3 g/kg of sodium ascorbate (n = 7) or fluid-matched placebo (n = 6), as a bolus followed by a 7-h infusion. ICP and mean arterial pressure (MAP) were measured continuously. Changes in MAP to escalating norepinephrine doses were recorded at baseline and 23-h of sepsis, and after treatment at 27.5 and 31-h of sepsis. Sepsis reduced MAP and CPP and increased heart rate and ICP (all P < 0.01). By 31-h of sepsis, sodium ascorbate improved MAP compared with placebo (75 ± 5 to 87 ± 11 vs. 69 ± 11 to 66 ± 7 mmHg; P = 0.020). In addition, sodium ascorbate normalised ICP, whereas it remained elevated with placebo (17.0 ± 3.4 to 9.3 ± 1.9 vs. 20.6 ± 3.7 to 19.3 ± 5.0 mmHg; P = 0.024). Sodium ascorbate improved CPP versus no effect with placebo (61 ± 11 to 75 ± 5 mmHg vs. 48 ± 16 to 49 ± 12 mmHg; P = 0.046). MAP responsiveness to norepinephrine was impaired at 23-h of sepsis in both groups and was fully restored at 27.5- and 31-h of sepsis by sodium ascorbate but not by placebo. Norepinephrine did not increase ICP in either group.

3. Cytokine-induced chromatin accessibility in whole blood neutrophils links to sepsis transcriptional states.

70Level VCase-control
Frontiers in immunology · 2026PMID: 42358989

Whole-blood stimulation ATAC-Seq shows that physiologic inflammatory signals drive stimulus-specific neutrophil chromatin accessibility and TF motif programs distinct from PMA. These accessibility changes map to sepsis transcriptomic states associated with disease severity, linking upstream cytokine signaling to clinically relevant neutrophil programs.

Impact: By using physiologically relevant stimuli, this study delineates upstream regulatory logic in neutrophils that aligns with sepsis severity states, offering mechanistic targets for precision immunomodulation.

Clinical Implications: Although preclinical, mapping cytokine-specific neutrophil programs could inform biomarker development and targeted immunotherapies tailored to sepsis endotypes.

Key Findings

  • Physiologic inflammatory factors (TNF-α, GM-CSF, fMLP, C5a, IL-1β) induced stimulus-specific neutrophil chromatin accessibility distinct from PMA.
  • Stimulus-dependent TF motif enrichment: GM-CSF→STAT, TNF-α→NF-κB, C5a/fMLP→AP-1; combined stimulation engaged cooperative programs including CEBP.
  • Promoter accessibility changes under NF stimulation corresponded to sepsis transcriptomic states associated with disease severity.

Methodological Strengths

  • ATAC-Seq profiling in whole blood preserves physiologic context compared with isolated-cell PMA models
  • Integration with public sepsis transcriptomic cohorts to link chromatin accessibility to clinical severity states

Limitations

  • Sample size and donor variability not detailed in abstract; primarily ex vivo short-term stimulation
  • Causality and in vivo validation of predicted regulatory programs are not established

Future Directions: Expand to single-cell multi-omics and perturbation studies in patient-derived neutrophils; test targeted modulation of identified TF nodes in preclinical models and associate with clinical endotypes.

BACKGROUND: Neutrophils play an important role in the immune system by sensing environmental perturbations, including pathogens. Upon activation, neutrophils extrude their chromatin to form neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs), which trap and remove pathogens. Chromatin decondensation during NET formation is a regulated process that reflects both the inducing pathways and the cellular environment. However, most studies rely on non-physiological stimuli like phorbol 12-myristate 13-acetate (PMA), which bypass key regulatory mechanisms. As a result, how physiologically relevant inflammatory signals change neutrophil chromatin accessibility and relate to disease associated transcriptional states remains poorly understood. METHODS: We used the Assay for Transposase-Accessible Chromatin with sequencing (ATAC-Seq) to profile chromatin accessibility in neutrophils stimulated in whole blood with PMA and physiologically relevant inflammatory natural factors (NFs), including TNF-α, GM-CSF, fMLP, C5a, and IL-1β, alone and in combination. Chromatin responses were compared across conditions and integrated with publicly available transcriptomic sepsis cohorts. RESULTS: NF stimulation induced stimulus specific chromatin accessibility programs distinct from PMA. Individual NFs enriched specific transcription factor (TF) motif enrichments in a stimulus dependent manner, with GM-CSF associated with STAT motifs, TNF-α with NF-κB, and C5a/fMLP with AP-1, while the combined condition showed a cooperative response including CEBP. Integration with sepsis transcriptomic datasets revealed that promoter accessibility changes under NF stimulation corresponded to transcriptional states associated with disease severity, highlighting the upstream regulatory programs linked to clinical outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: These findings demonstrate that NF stimulation in whole blood reveals chromatin accessibility programs in neutrophils that correlate with disease severity in sepsis. This approach provides a framework for linking cytokine driven neutrophil regulation to heterogenous inflammatory states in sepsis and other NET-associated diseases.