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Direct carbapenemase typing from disc diffusion antibiograms with MALCA (MAchine Learning CArbapenemase).

Nature communications2026-05-12PubMed
Total: 83.0Rigor: 8Innovation: 9Journal: 9Clinical: 7

Summary

Using routine disc diffusion antibiograms, MALCA accurately detects CPE and types carbapenemases with >96% sensitivity and specificity in external validation. This rapid, reagent-free tool outperforms existing screening algorithms and can expedite targeted therapy decisions for severe infections including sepsis.

Key Findings

  • Two classifiers (MALCA-22 and MALCA-8) trained on 11,992 isolates and externally validated on 8,514 isolates.
  • Both classifiers achieved >96% sensitivity and specificity for CPE detection; >97% sensitivity and >98% specificity for common carbapenemases (OXA-48-like, NDM, KPC).
  • Outperformed established European and French CPE screening algorithms using only routine disc diffusion data.

Clinical Implications

Integrating MALCA into laboratory information systems can enable same-day carbapenemase typing from routine antibiograms, guiding early selection of agents (e.g., ceftazidime–avibactam for KPC/OXA-48-like vs. aztreonam–avibactam for NDM) in suspected or confirmed sepsis.

Why It Matters

Provides a scalable, inexpensive pathway to precise resistance mechanism identification without additional testing, potentially reducing time to effective therapy and mortality in drug-resistant sepsis.

Limitations

  • Performance may depend on local antibiotic panels and breakpoints; generalizability to rare carbapenemases is uncertain.
  • Clinical impact on time-to-appropriate therapy and outcomes was not prospectively measured.

Future Directions

Prospective implementation trials measuring time-to-appropriate therapy, mortality, and antimicrobial stewardship metrics across diverse settings, including low-resource laboratories.

Study Information

Study Type
Cohort
Research Domain
Diagnosis
Evidence Level
III - Observational diagnostic development with external validation across large isolate cohorts.
Study Design
OTHER