Daily Ards Research Analysis
Analyzed 6 papers and selected 3 impactful papers.
Summary
Today's top studies span biomarker-driven risk stratification and critical care rescue strategies. A large IPF cohort validates MMP-7 and CCL18 as prognostic markers, an ARDS cohort identifies day-3 endogenous carboxyhemoglobin as an independent mortality predictor, and a trauma-surgical series supports the safety of concurrent VV-ECMO with damage-control laparotomy.
Research Themes
- Biomarker-based risk stratification in lung disease
- Prognostic indicators beyond oxygenation in ARDS
- ECMO-surgery integration for critical care rescue
Selected Articles
1. Prognostic biomarkers for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: findings from ISABELA clinical trials.
Across 1,280 IPF patients in ISABELA 1/2, higher baseline MMP-7 was associated with ≥10% annual FVC decline. Combining elevated baseline MMP-7 and CCL18 with longitudinal CCL18 changes enhances risk stratification and may aid efficacy assessment and monitoring in trials.
Impact: This is the largest IPF biomarker analysis to date, providing robust, scalable prognostic markers with direct utility for trial design and patient stratification.
Clinical Implications: Baseline and longitudinal assessment of MMP-7 and CCL18 could guide risk stratification, inform frequency of monitoring, and enrich IPF clinical trials with high-risk participants.
Key Findings
- In the 1,280-patient ISABELA cohort, higher baseline MMP-7 was associated with ≥10% annual FVC decline.
- Combining high baseline MMP-7 and CCL18 levels with longitudinal CCL18 changes improved prognostic discrimination.
- Findings support biomarker-driven risk stratification and monitoring strategies in IPF trials.
Methodological Strengths
- Largest prospective IPF biomarker cohort with longitudinal sampling
- Standardized assessment of 17 soluble biomarkers
Limitations
- Methods/results text truncated limits detail on statistical modeling and effect sizes
- Post hoc biomarker analyses may be susceptible to residual confounding and assay variability
Future Directions: Validate prognostic thresholds for MMP-7 and CCL18 in external cohorts, integrate with clinical/physiologic variables, and test biomarker-guided enrichment strategies in interventional trials.
BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is characterised by progressive loss of pulmonary function and poor survival. Although biomarkers for disease progression and mortality exist, their reliability in large studies remains unproven. This study investigates prognostic biomarkers from the ISABELA trials, the largest IPF cohort to date, to identify those predicting worse clinical outcomes. METHODS: Plasma from 1280 IPF patients in ISABELA 1 and 2 (NCT03711162, NCT03733444) was analysed for 17 circulating soluble disease-related biomarkers at multiple time-points and for the RESULTS: Patients with ≥10% annual decline in FVC had higher median baseline of matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP-7) CONCLUSIONS: We provide new insights into the prognostic value of MMP-7 and CCL18 in identifying high-risk IPF patients in the largest cohort to date. The combination of high baseline MMP-7 and CCL18 levels, along with longitudinal changes in CCL18, has the potential to enhance risk stratification and support efficacy assessment and monitoring in clinical trials.
2. "Beyond Hypoxemia: Endogenous Carboxyhemoglobin as a Prognostic Window into Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome".
In a two-ICU retrospective ARDS cohort (n=95), day-3 endogenous carboxyhemoglobin independently predicted in-hospital mortality with an AUC of 0.70, outperforming traditional physiologic indices when adjusted. Associations were consistent across COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 ARDS.
Impact: Introduces a mechanistically grounded, readily measurable biomarker (COHb) that augments ARDS prognostication beyond oxygenation metrics.
Clinical Implications: Measuring day-3 arterial COHb could enhance risk stratification and inform escalation, trial eligibility, and family counseling, pending external validation.
Key Findings
- Day-3 COHgb was higher in non-survivors than survivors (median 1.47 vs 0.97; P=0.002).
- Only day-3 COHgb independently predicted in-hospital mortality (adjusted OR 3.15; 95% CI 1.19–8.32; P=0.020).
- Predictive performance showed AUC 0.70 (sensitivity 69%, specificity 64%).
- Associations were consistent in both COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 ARDS subgroups.
Methodological Strengths
- Predefined ARDS time windows with serial biomarker measurement
- Multivariable modeling against established severity scores and oxygenation indices
Limitations
- Single-region, modest sample size (n=95) limits generalizability
- Retrospective design with potential unmeasured confounding; AUC indicates moderate discrimination
Future Directions: Prospectively validate COHb thresholds and trajectories, integrate with multi-biomarker panels (e.g., inflammatory/oxidative stress markers), and assess utility for guiding ARDS trial enrichment and therapy escalation.
PURPOSE OF RESEARCH: Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) carries high mortality, and conventional physiological indices incompletely reflect disease trajectory and outcomes. Endogenous carboxyhemoglobin (COHgb), a marker of heme oxygenase-1 activity and oxidative stress, may offer additional prognostic value. This study evaluated whether arterial COHgb levels, measured at defined stages of ARDS, are associated with mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) free days, and ventilator-free days, and whether these associations differ between COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 ARDS. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study (2017-2021), non-smoking adults meeting Berlin criteria for ARDS across two ICUs were included. COHgb and physiological parameters were recorded at the predefined time periods of ARDS. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality; secondary outcomes included ICU-free and ventilator-free days. Multivariable logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic analyses compared the predictive performance of COHgb with APACHE II, SOFA, SAPS II scores, and PaO RESULTS: Ninety-five patients were analyzed (42 survivors, 53 non-survivors). Day 3 COHgb was higher in non-survivors than survivors (median 1.47 vs. 0.97; P = 0.002). In multivariable analysis, only Day 3 COHgb independently predicted mortality (adjusted OR 3.15; 95% CI 1.19-8.32; P = 0.020) with an AUC of 0.70 (sensitivity 69%, specificity 64%). Findings were consistent across COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 subgroups. CONCLUSION: Arterial COHgb may serve as a prognostic marker of mortality in ARDS, after adjustment for established severity scores and oxygenation indices. Given the modest sample size, these results should be viewed as hypothesis generating and require confirmation in larger, multicenter cohorts.
3. Venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation and damage-control laparotomy in acute care surgery patients: A safe and successful option for patient rescue.
In 52 acute care surgery patients receiving concurrent VV-ECMO and DCL/OA, hospital discharge survival was 58%, with anticoagulation and higher RESP scores independently associated with lower mortality. Findings suggest VV-ECMO is not a contraindication to open abdomen management and vice versa.
Impact: Addresses a critical evidence gap on combining VV-ECMO with open abdomen strategies, informing high-stakes decisions in surgical ICUs.
Clinical Implications: Centers can consider VV-ECMO in patients requiring DCL/OA without automatic exclusion; routine anticoagulation strategies may be beneficial, guided by bleeding risk.
Key Findings
- Among 52 patients with concurrent VV-ECMO and DCL/OA, survival to hospital discharge was 58%.
- Anticoagulation during VV-ECMO was associated with lower mortality (OR 0.08; 95% CI 0.01–0.42).
- Higher RESP score was associated with decreased mortality (OR 0.71; 95% CI 0.53–0.95).
- Primary VV-ECMO indications were ARDS/pneumonia (83%); DCL/OA indications included abdominal compartment syndrome (37%) and trauma (19%).
Methodological Strengths
- Prospectively collected database with standardized data elements
- Multivariable regression to adjust for confounders
Limitations
- Single-center retrospective design with modest sample size (n=52)
- Potential selection bias and limited generalizability to non-quaternary centers
Future Directions: Multicenter prospective studies to define optimal anticoagulation strategies, timing of cannulation relative to DCL/OA, and bleeding versus thrombotic risk trade-offs.
INTRODUCTION: The combined use of venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV-ECMO) and damage-control laparotomy/open abdomen (DCL/OA) is not well described in the literature. We hypothesized that the mortality with concurrent VV-ECMO and DCL/OA would not be statistically different from that reported for either intervention alone. METHODS: Patients managed with a DCL/OA and VV-ECMO from March 2014 through March 2022 were retrospectively reviewed from a prospectively collected database at a single quaternary care center. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Survivor and nonsurvivor cohorts were compared using univariate and bivariate analyses with a priori significance at p ≤ 0.05. A multivariable regression analyses was performed to identify independent predictors of mortality. RESULTS: Fifty-two patients were managed with VV-ECMO and concurrent DCL/OA. The majority of patients were male (58%), with a mean (SD) age of 41 (14) years. The primary indication for VV-ECMO was acute respiratory distress syndrome/pneumonia (83%). The primary indications for DCL/OA were abdominal compartment syndrome (37%) and trauma (19%). Sixty percent of the patients underwent VV-ECMO cannulation after DCL/OA. Survival at hospital discharge was 58%. Survivors had a lower mean Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (12 vs. 14, p = 0.02), higher mean Respiratory ECMO Survival Prediction score (3.5 vs. 1.1, p = 0.004), lower mean preoperative lactic acid level (4 vs. 7, p = 0.04) and were more likely to receive anticoagulation while on VV-ECMO (70% vs. 30%, p = 0.012) than nonsurvivors. Postdischarge, survival rates at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months were 90%, 72%, 69%, and 62%, respectively. After adjusting for confounders, the use of anticoagulation (odds ratio, 0.08; 95% confidence interval, 0.01-0.42) and a higher Respiratory ECMO Survival Prediction score (odds ratio, 0.71; 95% confidence interval, 0.53-0.95) were associated with decreased mortality. CONCLUSION: Relatively favorable outcomes are often achieved in acute care surgery patients treated with concomitant VV-ECMO and DCL/OA. Venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation should not be considered a contraindication to DCL/OA and vice versa. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Retrospective Cohort Study; Level III.