Daily Endocrinology Research Analysis
Three endocrine-focused studies stood out: a binational cohort created and externally validated a simple risk score to predict SGLT2 inhibitor–associated diabetic ketoacidosis; a multicenter deep-learning pipeline accurately identified adrenal incidentalomas on nonenhanced CT; and shear-wave elastography plus contrast-enhanced ultrasound quantified foot muscle stiffness and microcirculatory deficits linked to diabetic microvascular complications.
Summary
Three endocrine-focused studies stood out: a binational cohort created and externally validated a simple risk score to predict SGLT2 inhibitor–associated diabetic ketoacidosis; a multicenter deep-learning pipeline accurately identified adrenal incidentalomas on nonenhanced CT; and shear-wave elastography plus contrast-enhanced ultrasound quantified foot muscle stiffness and microcirculatory deficits linked to diabetic microvascular complications.
Research Themes
- Risk stratification for diabetes pharmacotherapy safety
- Artificial intelligence in endocrine imaging diagnostics
- Ultrasound biomarkers for diabetic microvascular complications
Selected Articles
1. Predicting the occurrence of DKA following sodium glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors: An international cohort study.
Using 322,135 new SGLT2i users in Ontario with external validation in 43,377 Danish users, the authors derived a three-item risk score (prior DKA, insulin use, A1c >9%). A score of 0 identified very low 1-year DKA risk (~0.19%), whereas scores ≥19 conferred markedly higher risk (~9–11%) but with modest discrimination (AUC 0.63–0.66) and low PPV.
Impact: Provides an externally validated, practical risk stratification tool to guide safer SGLT2i prescribing and patient counseling.
Clinical Implications: Clinicians can reassure patients meeting the lowest-risk profile (no prior DKA, no insulin, A1c <9%) and focus monitoring/ketone education on higher-scoring patients while recognizing current model PPV and sensitivity limitations.
Key Findings
- One-year DKA risk among new SGLT2i users was 0.28% (Ontario) and 0.23% (Denmark).
- Risk score: prior DKA (19 points), insulin use (4 points), A1c >9% (4 points); all others 0 points; AUC 0.63–0.66 with external validation.
- Score 0 identified very low risk (~0.19%, sensitivity 100%); scores ≥19 conferred ~9–11% risk but with low PPV (6.7–10.2%) and low sensitivity.
Methodological Strengths
- Very large derivation cohort with independent external validation in another country.
- Simple, interpretable score based on routinely available clinical variables.
Limitations
- Administrative data may misclassify exposures/outcomes and lack granular clinical variables (e.g., ketone measurements).
- Modest discrimination (AUC ~0.63–0.66) with low PPV and sensitivity at higher thresholds limits individual-level prediction.
Future Directions: Integrate lab and physiological data (ketones, bicarbonate), medication patterns, and alerts into EHRs for prospective validation and improved discrimination.
BACKGROUND: Sodium glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) are associated with a small-magnitude but higher risk of diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA). However, objectively identifying patients at lowest and highest risk of DKA is challenging. METHODS: We developed a prediction model using outpatient prescription data from Ontario, Canada and externally validated it using data from Denmark. We included adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus who were newly prescribed an SGLT2i. Our candidate predictors in the model were based on prior work and included the following: Sex, insulin use, prior DKA, dementia, hemoglobin A1C, and creatinine. Our outcome was 1-year risk of hospitalization with DKA. We calculated a risk score using an adaptation of penalized regression for each patient reported test characteristics in Ontario (derivation cohort) and Denmark (external validation cohort). RESULTS: We identified 322,135 in Ontario and 43,377 adults in Denmark who had type 2 diabetes mellitus and received an SGLT2i. The absolute risk of DKA within 1-year was 0.28 % (N = 916) in Ontario and 0.23 % (N = 101) in Denmark. Using data from Ontario, the risk score for each variable were as follows: Insulin use = 4 points, A1C > 9 % = 4 points and prior DKA = 19 points. All other variables received zero points. The overall model AUC was 63 % in Ontario and 66 % in Denmark (external validation set). Within Ontario, at a score threshold of zero, the risk of DKA was 0.19 % and the PPV was 0.3 % and the sensitivity was 100 % and similar results were observed in Denmark. For adults with a score of 19 or higher, the risk of DKA was 35-fold higher but false positives were common yielding a PPV of 6.7 % and sensitivity was lower at 3 %. In Denmark, adults with a score of 19 or higher had a risk of 11 % and the PPV was 10.2 % and sensitivity was 5 %. CONCLUSION: Adults with a score of 0 (that is, simply a lack of DKA history, lack of insulin therapy, and A1c < 9 %) can be reassured that 99.8 % will not experience DKA in the subsequent year. In contrast, for adults with a score of 19 or higher the one-year risk of DKA is approximately 9 %, but false positives and false negatives are common and thus more work is needed to improve the predictive performance of the model.
2. Automatic recognition of adrenal incidentalomas using a two-stage cascade network: a multicenter study.
A two-stage deep learning pipeline (3D Res-UNet segmentation plus classifier) trained on multicenter nonenhanced CT achieved AUC ≈88% for left and right adrenal incidentaloma detection, performing comparably to manual segmentation across centers.
Impact: Demonstrates robust, generalizable AI for automated detection of adrenal incidentalomas on widely available nonenhanced CT, potentially streamlining endocrine workups.
Clinical Implications: Automated AI detection may triage CT scans for endocrine review, reduce missed lesions, and standardize detection prior to biochemical phenotyping for subclinical hyperfunction.
Key Findings
- Multicenter retrospective dataset (n=778) across three centers for nonenhanced CT.
- Two-stage cascade network attained validation AUCs of 88.15% (left) and 87.90% (right) for adrenal incidentaloma detection.
- No significant performance difference versus manual segmentation by DeLong testing, supporting clinical parity.
Methodological Strengths
- Multicenter design with independent test cohort enhancing generalizability.
- Direct comparison with manual segmentation using appropriate statistical testing (DeLong).
Limitations
- Retrospective design without prospective clinical impact assessment or outcome linkage.
- Focused on nonenhanced CT; performance on contrast-enhanced scans and across vendors/protocols requires further validation.
Future Directions: Prospective deployment studies measuring detection-to-diagnosis timelines and downstream endocrine outcomes; extension to characterize lesion subtypes and functionality.
BACKGROUND: The incidence of adrenal incidentalomas (AIs) is increasing yearly. The early discovery of AIs is helpful to better manage adrenal diseases, especially subclinical primary aldosteronism, Cushing's syndrome and pheochromocytoma. METHODS: In this multicenter retrospective study, a total of 778 patients from three different medical centers were assessed. The two-stage cascade network consisted of a 3D Res-Unet network for adrenal gland segmentation and a classifier for determining the presence of AIs. The segmentation network was mainly evaluated by the Dice similarity coefficient (DSC), and the classifier was evaluated by the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. The Delong test was used to compare the classification performance between the cascade network and manual segmentation. RESULTS: A total of 443 patients were randomly assigned in a 7:3 ratio, stratified sampling, to train and valid sets of the model development cohort, and 335 patients from the three centers were included in the test cohort. In the validation set, the AUC of the model for identifying left AI was 88.15%, and the AUC of the model for identifying right AI was 87.90%. There was no significant difference between model performance and manual segmentation of AIs ( CONCLUSIONS: The two-stage cascade network based on a deep learning algorithm can be used for automatic recognition of AIs in nonenhanced CT from different centers.
3. Assessment of extensor hallucis brevis stiffness and microcirculation in diabetes: shear wave elastography and contrast-enhanced ultrasound.
In a cross-sectional cohort of 90 participants, EHB stiffness (SWE) and perfusion metrics (CEUS) discriminated microvascular complications in T2DM with high accuracy (AUC 0.93–0.97) and excellent reproducibility, suggesting practical, noninvasive biomarkers for diabetic foot risk.
Impact: Introduces reproducible ultrasound-based markers that could enable earlier risk stratification for diabetic foot complications, a major cause of morbidity and amputations.
Clinical Implications: SWE/CEUS can be incorporated into diabetic foot clinics to identify patients with microvascular compromise before ulceration, guiding intensified preventive care and referrals.
Key Findings
- EHB stiffness (Emean) increased stepwise: controls 11.88 kPa, T2DM 15.78 kPa, T2DM with microvascular complications 18.57 kPa (P < 0.01).
- CEUS showed prolonged transcapillary transit time (ΔAT) and reduced net enhancement intensity (ΔPI) in microvascular complication group.
- High diagnostic accuracy for microvascular complications: AUCs 0.970 (ΔAT), 0.947 (Emean), 0.931 (ΔPI); excellent reproducibility (ICC > 0.80).
Methodological Strengths
- Combined biomechanical (SWE) and perfusion (CEUS) assessments with ROC and reproducibility analyses.
- Clearly stratified cohorts enabling stepwise trend evaluation across disease severity.
Limitations
- Single-center cross-sectional design limits causal inference and generalizability.
- Focused on one foot muscle (EHB); broader muscle assessment and longitudinal outcomes were not studied.
Future Directions: Prospective, multicenter studies linking SWE/CEUS markers to ulceration and amputation endpoints and integrating into risk calculators.
BACKGROUND: Diabetic foot complications, driven by microvascular dysfunction, remain a leading cause of morbidity and amputations. Early detection of microcirculatory and biomechanical alterations in vulnerable muscles, such as the extensor hallucis brevis (EHB), may contribute to risk stratification. However, noninvasive tools for quantifying these changes are lacking. METHODS: This cross-sectional study enrolled 90 participants stratified into healthy controls, uncomplicated type 2 diabetes (T2DM), and T2DM with microvascular complications (MC). Shear wave elastography (SWE) measured EHB stiffness (mean Young's modulus, Emean), while contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) assessed perfusion dynamics (transcapillary transit time [ΔAT], net enhancement intensity [ΔPI]). Diagnostic accuracy and reproducibility were evaluated via ROC analysis and intra-class correlation coefficients (ICC). RESULTS: Emean increased progressively across groups (control: 11.88 kPa; T2DM: 15.78 kPa; T2DM+MC: 18.57 kPa; P < 0.01). T2DM+MC exhibited prolonged ΔAT (89.5 s vs. 50.5 s in controls) and reduced ΔPI (5.0 dB vs. 7.0 dB; P < 0.01). ROC analysis demonstrated high diagnostic accuracy for ΔAT (AUC = 0.970), Emean (AUC = 0.947), and ΔPI (AUC = 0.931) in detecting MC. Both SWE and CEUS showed excellent reproducibility (ICC > 0.80). CONCLUSION: SWE and CEUS provide robust, noninvasive biomarkers for early diabetic microvascular complications. The EHB's unique susceptibility to stiffness and perfusion deficits highlights its clinical value, which may facilitate diabetic foot risk assessment and guide timely interventions to mitigate ulceration and amputations.